Jota’s return to Celtic has brought plenty of excitement to Celtic Park, the previous fan favourite is expected to line up in the starting 11 for just the second time since re-signing from French club, Rennes. He’s an exciting player who always excites the fans which is one of the reasons why this price for him to be fouled at least once really stands out. 

This selection is priced at just 1.5 with SkyBet making the 1.83 offered on PaddyPower a good bit of value for this Wednesday night tie. Jota hasn’t played regularly this season so it’s difficult to find tangible numbers for him when it comes to winning fouls, however what does stand out is how often he looks to carry the ball and engage with the opposition fullback. 

Jota has already managed 3 successful dribbles across his 87 minutes of football in the Scottish Premiership this campaign, he also averaged 1.09 successful dribbles per 90 across his 9 appearances with Rennes this season. These numbers suggest that Jota likes to travel with the ball, a playing style which naturally invites fouls. This theory is supported by the fact that Celtic will have to be patient in this game and will likely only get their opportunities on the counter attack, where Jota is more likely to be fouled with the game stretched. 

Jota will be up against Sacha Boey who is quite an aggressive fullback as evidenced by his 1.03 fouls committed per 90 average in the Champions League this season. Celtic won’t have many weak points to target here but the wide areas could offer an avenue to goal with Alphonso Davies expected to miss this game on the opposite side. Boey is also averaging 1.02 fouls committed per 90 across his 7 Bundesliga appearances this season.