McGregor is averaging 0.89 fouls committed per 90 in the Champions League this season, he committed a foul in the first leg meeting between these sides and will once again be up against Jamal Musiala who is an expert in operating in tight spaces as he showed in the game at Celtic Park to be brought down twice. 

McGregor’s average may not appear to stand out at first glance but when looking at his numbers in detail, his average in the Champions League represents a notable increase on the 0.36 fouls committed per 90 in the Scottish Premiership this season. This suggests that McGregor’s defensive workload is more difficult to manage in the Champions League with the higher level of opposition he is facing.

Musiala is averaging 2.11 fouls won per 90 across his nine Champions League appearances this season. There were only eight fouls exchanged in the first leg at Celtic Park but it’s notable that Musiala and McGregor were involved in three of these, suggesting that their foul numbers continue to stay consistent even with low foul numbers in the game. We should see an increase in the number of fouls in this encounter with the picture clear for both sides and there being a significant chance of the game being stretched in the latter stages with Celtic needing a goal. This game state could force McGregor into making a few tactical fouls when Celtic commit bodies forward. 

There is decent value with this selection when placing with PaddyPower, this same market is priced around 1.5 on other bookmakers making the 2.0 offered here a solid price for McGregor to match his foul output from the first leg up against the same opponent.