Mahdi Camara is 1.50 to commit at least one foul for Brest against PSG with Paddy Power, which represents terrific value. The same player is not available at a price better than 1.25 at any other bookmaker, with Ladbrokes 1.18 on this market representing what the other firms believe.

The implied chance of Camara committing at least one foul in this game is 66.7% but recent history shows that there is a significantly bigger possibility than this.

Camara has committed the joint-most fouls in the Champions League for Brest (13) at a rate of 1.73 per 90. Across his last 12 starts in all competitions, he has committed at least one foul on 10 occasions, a strike rate of 83.3%. This corresponds to the prices the majority of bookmakers are offering on the market. Included in this run are two fixtures against PSG, in which Camara has committed a foul.

With multiple fouls committed in five of these 12 fixtures, this suggests he’s likelier to give away two free-kicks in this game than none at all. This is available at 3.3 on Betfair.

He has a possible head-to-head opponent in the form of Joao Neves, who leads PSG in fouls drawn this season. The Portuguese has picked up 37 free-kicks at a rate of 1.52 per 90.