High hopes for Manchester United’s new season were quickly lowered after their disappointing performance in their loss to Brighton where they dominated possession but didn’t convert this into chances. Brentford also disappointed in their first half against Leicester but came back from 2-0 down in the second half to get a deserved draw. This week Ten Hag will experience his first away match in the Premier League and will be hoping for a much better performance.
Brentford v Manchester United Bet Builder Tips
Both Teams To Score
Brentford and Manchester United are both attacking teams, focused on a passing based system. Last season in 20 Brentford matches both teams scored and for Manchester United it was 22 matches. However, against teams of each other’s level, when matches were more even, was when these matches most often saw both teams score. When Manchester United played away against Brentford last season, the xG scores were 2.2-2.0 to Brentford. Looking at opening match results, both teams were also involved in matches where both teams scored and it’s hard to see that not happening again. Ten Hag has had a full pre-season with this Manchester United team however their defensive issues from last year still were evident in their match against Brighton. Brentford will continue to play the exciting attacking football that made them so exciting to watch last season so I would expect an open match where both teams score.
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Prediction: Both Teams To Score
Bruno Fernandes to have 1+ Shots on Target
Bruno Fernandes was expected to play a deeper role when it was announced Bruno and Christian Eriksen were starting against Brighton. However, instead of that, he was pushed high up the pitch with Eriksen playing a much deeper role. Bruno played in sort of a left centre attacking midfield position, supporting Rashford on the left while also supporting possession when central. Bruno found space in these positions and took markers away from Rashford that meant it was difficult for Brighton to defend this area of the pitch. 6 of the 9 shots Manchester United took against Brighton were from the left hand side of the box, an area Bruno was attacking. Bruno was responsible for one of these shots in this game and will be afforded more shooting opportunities in this game if he continues to get in these positions.
Against Brentford, Leicester had 15 shots but only 3 were inside the box, Manchester United will also be afforded this time to shoot from distance. Bruno was in the top 15% of attacking midfielders for total number of shots attempted last season yet he was also in the highest 10% for average shooting distance, his average shot distance is from 3 yards outside the box!
Whether it’s from a chance in the box or a long shot from outside the box, Bruno will have plenty of opportunities to hit the target so I would expect him to get a shot on target in this game.
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Prediction: Bruno Fernandes to have 1+ Shots on Target
Ivan Toney to have 1+ Shots on Target
Against Manchester United, only 18% of xG they created came from attacks on Manchester United’s left, the rest was towards Manchester United’s centre and Dalot at right back. Manchester United dominated possession against Brighton yet the only places on the pitch where Brighton had more possession was in Brighton’s own box and in Dalot’s area of the pitch. Manchester United were also very weak at defending crosses. 7 of Brighton’s 12 key passes were crosses and with a weakness at right back Brentford will exploit this area. Ivan Toney has proven himself as a Premier League striker with 12 Premier League goals last year. This season he already scored against Leicester in the opening match and will be looking to cause problems again. In his time in the prem he has averaged 0.82 shots on target per 90 minutes, averaging 2.16 shots per 90. He won 51.7% of his aerial duels last season and is a target man for Brentford crosses. Both of shots, including his goal, against Leicester came from crosses so he will be a key man again this match.
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Prediction: Ivan Toney to have 1+ Shots on Target
Harry Maguire to be Shown a Card
Ivan Toney was the 2nd most fouled player last season, being fouled 84 times or 2.6 times per 90 minutes. Toney can play with his back to goal but also has the ability to run in behind. Toney will be against Harry Maguire who only committed 23 fouls last season yet still received 9 yellow cards. Against physical strikers like Toney he can be clumsy when the ball is played into their feet with their back to goal, often trying to dive in from behind and bringing the player down. He committed several fouls like this against Brighton in a match that saw him booked. Against Toney it will be a test for a player that gets a yellow card roughly every 3 matches so Maguire will most likely be booked again in this match. If Ten Hag decides to bring in Varane instead of Maguire, I believe Lisandro Martinez would also be a good shout for a yellow card. He is less physical so will also struggle against Toney, possibly leading to more fouls. Therefore, if Maguire is dropped, I would suggest Martinez as another good option for a booking.
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Prediction: Harry Maguire to be Shown a Card
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How to watch Brentford v Manchester United in the Premier League
📅 When is Brentford v Manchester United? / Saturday, 13th August 2022, 5:30PM
🏟 Where is Brentford v Manchester United? / Brentford Community Stadium (Brentford)
📺 What TV channel is Brentford v Manchester United on? / Sky Sports Main Event & Sky Sports Football
🟨 …And who is the referee for Brentford v Manchester United? / S. Attwell 🏴
