Get £150 in Free Bets on Arsenal v Sporting - 15/04/26 - New Customer Sign-Up Offers
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Despite grabbing a last-minute winner in the first leg, all is not rosy for Mikel Arteta's Arsenal.
After losing at home to Bournemouth at the weekend, their title hopes have taken another dent, and this could leave the door open for Sporting to spring a massive shock when they travel to The Emirates on Wednesday night for this quarter-final second leg.
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Arsenal v Sporting Match Preview
Arsenal head into this second leg at the Emirates Stadium under significant pressure, with the Premier League title slipping from their grasp for a 4th consecutive season. The Champions League may now represent Mikel Arteta's best opportunity to end his trophy drought at the club, and a potentially favourable semi-final draw could await — Arsenal have already beaten Atletico Madrid 4-0 at the Emirates this season, should Simeone's side get past Barcelona.
Arsenal have not lost at home in the Champions League this season, and they hold a clean-sheet advantage from the first leg. Arteta is expected to set up in his familiar 4-2-3-1 shape, with Martin Zubimendi dropping between the centre-backs to help build from the back. The structure has drawn criticism from supporters, particularly during a difficult run of results, though Arsenal's defensive foundation remains the bedrock of their campaign.
Sporting CP have been one of the stories of this season's competition, finishing in the top 8 of the league phase and coming back from behind against Bodø/Glimt in the previous round to reach the quarter-finals. Ruben Amorim's side caused Arsenal problems in the first leg, forcing David Raya into 5 saves, but they were unable to find a goal that would have given them genuine hope of progressing.
Their away record in the Champions League this season has been poor, with just 1 win in away fixtures, and the task now is a difficult one. Sporting will look to play on the counter-attack again, knowing that an early goal could significantly unsettle an Arsenal side that is low on confidence and playing in front of a nervous home crowd.
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Arsenal to Win
Arsenal have won all five home Champions League games this season, including comfortable victories over Bayern Munich and Atletico Madrid.
Sporting have lost all three away games in the Champions League this season, against Napoli, Bayern Munich, and Bodo Glimt.
Sporting failed to score in the first leg, meaning they need two goals at The Emirates just to force extra time.
Sporting to Commit 11+ Fouls
Sporting committed exactly 11 fouls in the first leg and average 10.7 fouls committed per game in the Champions League this season.
Only three sides in the Champions League have had more yellow cards than Sporting (23) this season.
Needing to chase the tie away from home against an Arsenal side that dominate at The Emirates will naturally push that foul count higher.
Arsenal GK to Make 2+ Saves
David Raya made five saves in the first leg against Sporting, the same side that put five shots on target in that game.
His save average rises from 1.59 per 90 in the Premier League to 2.70 per 90 in the Champions League, showing a consistent trend of being busier in Europe.
Sporting need to score to stay in the tie, guaranteeing an attacking approach that should create the volume of shots required.
Geny Catamo to be Fouled 2+ Times
Catamo drew three fouls in the first leg against Arsenal, also having four shots and three of Sporting's five efforts on target.
He's averaging 2.05 fouls drawn per 90 across eight Champions League starts, and 2.11 per 90 across 20 Liga Portugal starts this season.
Sporting chasing the tie means Catamo will again look to run beyond Arsenal's high line on the counter, creating the same foul-winning opportunities as the first leg.
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