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Andy Robson

Arsenal v Sporting Bet Builder @ 4.24

David Raya made some important stops in Lisbon last week as Arsenal registered a 1-0 victory over Sporting thanks to a last-minute winner from Kai Havertz. Raya is an exceptional shot stopper and was called into action five times in that game, earning him the man of the match title. 

Raya has kept seven clean sheets across his 10 starts in the Champions League this season, only conceding three goals across these matches. He’s been called into action 27 times in the Premier League (2.70 per 90) and is likely to be tested at least twice by a Sporting side who do have quality in the final third, as they showed last week with their five efforts on target.

It’s also pretty notable that Raya is busier in the Champions League than he is in the Premier League. His save average jumps from 1.59 saves per 90 in the Premier League to 2.70 saves per 90 in the Champions League - so there is a clear trend of Raya being more active when playing in Europe for the Gunners.

Arsenal have been bombarded with criticism of late, which is warranted given how they’ve collapsed domestically, but their record in the Champions League is really positive. 

Arsenal have won all five of their home games in the Champions League this season, it’s really easy to forget their dominant victories over Bayern Munich and Atletico Madrid at the Emirates, in which they completely dominated those sides. 

Arteta’s side need a lift, and the Champions League should be able to deliver that morale boost - if Arsenal get through here, then they could have a relatively uncomplicated route to the final with Atletico Madrid looking likely to be their semi-final opponents. 

Sporting’s best performances this season have come at home. They’ve lost to Napoli, Bayern Munich, and Bodo Glimt on the road in the Champions League this term, so you get the feeling that they just missed their chance to make something of this tie by not getting on the scoresheet in the first leg.

Geny Catamo was hauled down three times when the sides faced off last week, and can offer a threat on the counterattack to Arsenal again here as Sporting look to get back into this tie.

Catamo was caught offside twice in that game, suggesting that the winger was constantly looking to run beyond Arsenal’s high defensive line and act as an outlet for Sporting. This proved to be pretty effective, with Catamo having four shots in the game and accounting for three of the five shots that Sporting managed to get on target.

Catamo has drawn 16 fouls across his eight starts in the Champions League this season (2.05 per 90), showing that this trait of Catamo’s is pretty consistent in the Champions League. His domestic numbers are also pretty convincing, with Catamo maintaining an average of 2.11 fouls won per 90 across his 20 starts in Liga Portugal this term.

Sporting committed exactly 11 fouls when these sides faced off last week, and I think they’ll be able to get to that foul tally again here.

Fouls can be a bit of a frustrating market to bet on when they take a while to stack up, but Sporting have maintained an average of 10.7 fouls committed per game in the Champions League this season - a total that should rise just slightly here.

Only three sides in the Champions League have picked up more yellow cards this season than Sporting (23). They’re chasing the tie here, so there is naturally going to be a bit of angst from the away side as they look to get that goal that will get them back in the contest.

Arsenal haven’t been at their strongest of late, but still tend to be pretty dominant at home in the Champions League and will look to break the game up as much as possible.

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Tips Feed

Geny Catamo - to be Fouled 2+ Times

10h ago

Arsenal Goalkeeper - to Make 2+ Saves

10h ago

Sporting - to Commit 11+ Fouls

9h ago

Arsenal - to Win

9h ago

Gabriel Martinelli - to Score or Assist

9h ago

Maxi Araujo - to be Shown a Card

9h ago

Riccardo Calafiori - to have 1+ Shots on Target

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