
UEFA Champions League
International Clubs
Atletico Madrid
Tomorrow
Tottenham
ABC Tips
Atletico Madrid v Tottenham Bet Builder @ 3.91
Diego Simeone’s men beat an in-form Real Sociedad side 3-2 at the weekend, and they were ruthless in the final third. Atletico racked up 24 shots and six big chances worth 2.31 xG, while the visitors were fortunate to score twice from their seven shots worth just 0.41 xG.
The Spanish side also beat Club Brugge 4-1 in their last European outing, making the aggregate score 7-4 to book their spot in the round of 16. Atletico have been one of the more entertaining sides in the Champions League this season, and over 2.5 goals has landed in nine of their 10 games in total. The only miss was against Galatasaray in round seven, but that game finished 1-1. Atletico come into this clash in a positive run of form, and they will be looking forward to this matchup.
Spurs haven’t quite been as enterprising, but they have at least regularly been able to find the back of the net, with 17 goals scored in their eight league phase matches. The Lilywhites only lost one game in that stretch, which was against PSG, so were able to automatically qualify for the round of 16.
However, since their last European match, Spurs have lost five and drawn one in the Premier League, and Igor Tudor has replaced Thomas Frank at the helm. That managerial change hasn’t provided much respite for Spurs fans, as their team have still struggled to restrict chances for their opponents. Tottenham have conceded 15 goals in those six matches alone.
Atletico Madrid are averaging 6.47 corners per game this season across all competitions, rising significantly to 7.81 when playing on home turf. They will want to secure a positive result to take to London in the second leg, so Atletico should be front-footed on Tuesday night.
Ademola Lookman featured alongside Alexander Sorloth at the weekend, and he racked up four shots before being replaced after 53 minutes. The Nigerian international is likely to operate in a more natural left midfield role on Tuesday night, and he will want to capitalise on this matchup against a leaky Tottenham rearguard, who are missing several key first-team players.
Lookman has adapted seamlessly to life in Spain after completing the move from Atalanta at the start of January, and he is averaging 3.44 shots per 90 across all competitions. He is swiftly becoming a fan-favourite at the Metropolitano, and has scored four goals in just eight starts for his new club. That includes getting on the scoresheet against Barcelona in the Copa del Rey, while Lookman also found the back of the net against Club Brugge on his Champions League debut for Atletico.
Despite receiving a straight red card in his last game against Crystal Palace, Micky Van De Ven will be available for selection in the Champions League, and is likely to retain his starting spot. He made a significant contribution to the outcome of the game on Thursday night, but it was not a positive one. After his dismissal, Ismaila Sarr went on to convert the penalty to level the scores, and Palace scored twice before the end of the first-half to take the game away from Spurs.
Van De Ven is averaging 1.01 fouls per 90 across all competitions this season, and he has landed this selection in all three games under the new manager. The Dutchman is averaging 2.17 fouls per 90 in the Champions League this campaign, and has recorded multiple infringements in five of his six starts overall. He has also been shown three yellow cards in that time.
Andy's Tuesday Accumulator @ 4.41
It’s hard to see how Tottenham pull together the resilience to get something out of this first leg tie, they are in a dire position and their focus may not even be on the Champions League at the moment given that they are in a relegation battle and take on Liverpool in between their two legs against Atletico Madrid.
Tottenham then have a six pointer against Nottingham Forest to contest, so Igor Tudor may end up having to sacrifice the Champions League just to keep Tottenham in the Premier League. On the other hand, this tie represents a real opportunity for Atletico Madrid to gain some momentum ahead of the latter stages of the competition - with this likely to be Diego Simeone’s last chance to win the Champions League with Atletico Madrid.
Atletico Madrid have won 12 of their 14 home matches in LaLiga this season, with only Barcelona picking up more points at home than Simeone’s side in the Spanish top flight this term. Atletico Madrid are also in excellent form ahead of this clash, having won four of their last five matches across all competitions - the exact opposite of Tottenham’s record with the North London side losing each of their last five matches across all competitions.
Galatasaray ran out 1-0 winners against Liverpool at home when these sides faced off in the league phase, with the Turkish side causing Liverpool quite a few problems in that game - ending the clash with an xG of 1.34 from just nine shots.
Galatasaray put five goals past Juventus in the home leg of their playoff tie to reach this stage of the competition and this goal output at home is very common for the Turkish champions. Galatasaray have netted 18 goals across their last five home matches across all competitions, working out to an average of 3.6 goals per game.
Galatasaray have scored in four of their five matches at home in the Champions League this season, with the exception of a 1-0 defeat to Union Saint Gilloise - a clash in which Galatasaray were reduced to 10 men and should have really ended up on the scoresheet with 15 shots and an xG of 1.18.
Barnsley are fast becoming one of the most must watch teams in the EFL, and their recent form suggests more of the same here. Both teams have found the net in four of their last five matches across all competitions, continuing a trend that has defined their season. At Oakwell, the numbers are hard to ignore - their 17 home league games have produced 60 goals, averaging 3.52 per game. With a playoff push still very much in sight, they’ll be desperate to claim maximum points here.
Cardiff will arrive with plenty of confidence after thrashing Barnsley 4-0 earlier in the campaign, though their away form tells a slightly different story. They’ve won eight of their 17 games on the road but have shipped 18 goals in the process. Defensive consistency has been an issue lately too with just one clean sheet in their last five outings, with BTTS landing in three of those.
Barnsley, meanwhile, haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of their last 19 matches, so it’s clear they’re accustomed to being involved in open, high scoring affairs. Expect both sides to contribute to the goal tally here in what should be a lively, end-to-end contest. Barnsley will be fighting to reignite their playoff ambitions, while Cardiff look to bounce back after Lincoln leapfrogged them in the title race with a 2-0 win over the Bluebirds last time out.
It is very rare to see Barcelona involved in low scoring matches due to the bold approach they take with their defensive high line that Hansi Flick doesn’t seem willing to change.
Barcelona have seen 3+ goals in all eight of their Champions League matches this season, including their league phase clash against Newcastle which Barcelona won 2-1 thanks to two goals from Marcus Rashford.
The context of this tie lends itself to a high scoring encounter too, Newcastle will know that taking a lead or even a draw into the clash next week would be valuable, even a goal down wouldn’t be a disaster for Eddie Howe’s side so they have plenty of motivation to contribute to the goal tally.
Newcastle can’t really expect to keep a clean sheet here given that they’ve failed to keep the opposition out in each of their last 13 matches across all competitions, seeing 3+ goals in 11 of these games.


