
Premier League
England
Bournemouth
Tomorrow
Man Utd
ABC Tips
Bournemouth v Manchester United Bet Builder @ 3.81
Alex Jimenez was dropped to the bench last weekend, but the Spaniard has been a regular at right back for Bournemouth in recent weeks and should reclaim his starting spot here over Adam Smith. Jimenez has proven his versatility this season, as he has featured in more advanced areas, but the 20-year-old has dropped into a more natural fullback role since the emergence of Rayan.
Because of that, Jimenez should be directly up against Matheus Cunha on the flank on Friday night, which is a matchup to keep an eye on. The Brazilian international is averaging 2.17 fouls drawn per 90 this season across all competitions, and he was fouled five times against Newcastle in his last away outing.
Jimenez is averaging 1.45 fouls per 90 on home turf this season, and he has landed this selection in eight of his eleven home starts.
Bournemouth had a bit of an injury crisis in midfield when these sides last met, as Lewis Cook was suspended, Ryan Christie was injured, and Tyler Adams suffered a knock just eight minutes into the match. That meant Marcus Tavernier had to play deeper than usual, but he was still a standout performer at Old Trafford, finishing the game with a goal and an assist to his name.
Tavernier had four shots in total, with three of those efforts hitting the target, and he has again been heavily involved since returning from injury. Tavernier has landed this bet in each of his last three starts, with 13 shots in that time.
Even though just 32% of his efforts in the Premier League have hit the target, Tavernier’s shot volume tends to be high, and he is averaging 2.48 shots per 90 in the league. He is the designated free-kick taker for the Cherries, and could also be on penalties.
There were plenty of chances available at either end of the field in that game, with neither side offering much defensive resistance.
The hosts generated 3.4 xG from their 25 shots, while Bournemouth managed 14 attempts at goal themselves. Both goalkeepers were also kept busy, finishing the game with five saves apiece, highlighting how there could have been even more goals.
That game had a bit of everything - goals, cards, and even corners. There were nine in total, with five for Man United and four for Bournemouth. Andoni Iraiola's side have been a team to target for corners all season, as they can be quite direct in their approach, and often look to play through wide areas.
They are averaging 10.9 corners per game in the Premier League this season, with 5.7 for and 5.2 against. This selection has landed in 12 of their last 13 league matches.
Bournemouth have been stalemate specialists over the last few weeks, as they have drawn each of their last four matches coming into this clash. Three of those games have seen no goals at all for either side, which is unusual, given how Bournemouth games are usually quite open and entertaining to watch.
However, Bournemouth have still been able to create some good chances, and it seems like the goals will start flowing again soon. They somehow failed to score against Burnley last time out, despite registering 22 shots worth 2.55 xG.
BTTS has landed in 12 of Man United’s last 13 away games, making this an excellent opportunity for Bournemouth to break their duck. However, keeping Man United at bay has proven to be no easy task, as they have scored in every game since November. Also, it finished 4-4 when these sides met in the reverse fixture at Old Trafford.
Bournemouth v Manchester United Player Matchup @ 2.20
Amad Diallo isn’t always the first name that comes to mind when looking for a serial fouler, but his record is actually quite strong for a winger - and I've noted how clumsy he can be with his challenges.
Manchester United committed 15 fouls in the most recent head to head meeting between these sides, with Amad Diallo committing two fouls - and dragging down Truffert with one of these challenges.
Amad has committed 17 fouls across his 21 Premier League appearances this season, working out to an average of 0.84 fouls committed per 90. His recent foul record may look a little off putting, but he has the perfect opponents here to force him into committing at least one foul here.
Amad will face up against Truffert and Rayan down that side of the pitch. I’ll expand on Truffert a bit more below, but Rayan has been brilliant since coming to the Premier League, notably winning four fouls across his six starts (0.67 fouls won per 90).
Adrien Truffert is a really exciting fullback to watch, a brief glance at his heat map this season will show you just how often he is given encouragement to push forward with Bournemouth often opting for a bold approach when playing in front of their own fans.
There’s actually a bit of value with this as a single when compared to other bookmakers, who have Truffert at 1.36 to win a foul here. Manchester United committed 15 fouls in the most recent head to head meeting between the sides, and may have to stop Truffert progressing down that side of the pitch again with his direct opponents being Amad Diallo and Diogo Dalot.
Diallo and Dalot combine to commit 1.76 fouls per 90 in the Premier League this season, so should offer a decent foul threat to Truffert between them when the Bournemouth fullback inevitably looks to bomb forward. Truffert has won 23 fouls across his 30 starts in the Premier League this season, working out to an average of 0.78 fouls won per 90.
Friday Evening Double @ 2.16
Lens boast the best home record in Ligue 1 this season, winning 11 of their 13 matches and netting 26 goals in the process (2.0 per game). They are still in the title race in Ligue 1, which is some achievement - given that PSG usually have a 10 point lead at this stage of the campaign in the French top flight.
Lens can go above PSG with a win here, though Luis Enrique’s side do have two games in hand to reinstate their current lead at the top of the table. Lens scored twice when these sides met earlier in the season, coming away 2-1 winners as the away side with their xG of 2.05 offering plenty of encouragement when looking to back Lens for two goals again here.
Angers have struggled on the road in Ligue 1 this term, winning just three of their 13 away matches in the French top flight. They’ve conceded 17 goals across these matches, and notably come into this fixture having lost four of their last five matches across all competitions - conceding 2+ goals in three of these games.
The first meeting between these two sides this season was a crazy one, ending in a 4-4 draw. With a combined xG of 5.34 from 39 shots. Based on this evidence, we could be in for another lively clash with goals looking likely at both ends.
Bournemouth tend to play a high-risk game, which is why that chaotic scoreline at Old Trafford earlier in the campaign wasn't a complete shock. The Cherries have toned things down a little in recent weeks, with three goalless draws in their last five outings - but their overall home record still tells a different story. Across 15 matches at the Vitality Stadium, there have been 36 goals, averaging 2.4 per game.
That said, it’s hard to see Bournemouth keeping United out here. Michael Carrick has done well to organise the side, but Manchester United are still struggling for clean sheets. Both teams have scored in four of their last five matches in all competitions and with United pushing for a Champions League spot, that trend could easily continue.



