Fares Chaibi is one of the most important players in this Frankfurt side, and managed six shots against Koln last time out as Frankfurt secured a 1-0 win at home.

He also had the joint most touches of any player in the opposition box during that game (7), showing just how involved Chaibi is with Frankfurt’s attacking actions.

Chaibi has taken eight shots across just 218 minutes of action in the Bundesliga this season (3.30 per 90). This is a small sample size, and is inflated by Chaibi’s most recent display, but his previous data also justifies this selection.

Chaibi took 35 shots across his 21 starts in the Bundesliga last season (1.75 per 90), and is playing for a Frankfurt side who are averaging 14.67 shots per game in the Bundesliga. 

Dortmund are conceding 11.67 shots per game in the Bundesliga this term, and conceded nine shots in this fixture last season - this selection landed via Super Sub on that occasion with Bahoya coming on for Chaibi after the Algerian had already taken one shot.

There’s serious value here, Chaibi is as short as 1.2 with other bookmakers to have 2+ shots here - 2.37 is simply too big a price for a player who took six shots last time out.