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Even though Boro have failed to score in three of their last six matches - it has not been through a lack of chance creation. Those blanks have seen them register xG tallies of 2.30, 1.56 and 1.22, they've come up against some inspired goalkeeping displays.

Ipswich have scored in 36 of 41 league games this term, including 19 in 21 at home. The reverse fixture saw this bet land as Boro won 2-1, the xG scoreline on that occasion was 2.33-2.15 in favour of Middlesbrough.

Ipswich have only kept two clean sheets in their last seven, one of them was against Sheffield Wednesday, and the other came in a controversial win at Norwich, where the officials favoured them.

Middlesbrough have actually been more prolific away from home than on Teesside this season, netting 34 times on the road (1.62 per game) and 28 times at home (1.33 per game).

I fully expect Jaden Philogene to come back into the starting XI for this one, after being rested, to an extent, in Ipswich's 2-0 loss at Portsmouth on Tuesday night.

The 24-year-old made his first league start since January, due to injury, in the 2-0 win at Norwich last weekend. Scoring a penalty and having two shots in total.

Philogene managed a shot on target in 33 minutes as a sub at Fratton Park, and he had six shots on target in his final five starts before picking up the injury around the turn of the year.

It's not a big concern that he may not play the full 90 in this one, Ipswich have great replacement options. Jack Clarke came on for him at Norwich last weekend, he is averaging 0.85 shots on target per 90, just under two shots per 90 and is the joint-3rd top scorer in the division, despite often playing second fiddle to Philogene when he's been fit this term.

The odds on Ipswich to win or draw feel generous considering the recent trajectories of the two sides.

Of course, Ipswich lost at relegation-scrapping Portsmouth in midweek, but the Fratton Park cauldron is no simple task for any side - especially when Kieran McKenna's men had the exertion of their crucial 2-0 win at rivals Norwich just three days prior.

This bet has landed in 20 of 21 Ipswich home league games this season, and though Boro have the firepower to get on the scoresheet, they are winless in six with only one clean sheet in that run - it's not the form line you usually see the 5th-placed side in the league posting at this stage of the campaign.

Ipswich were unbeaten in nine league outings before Tuesday night, and they can start another unbeaten stretch to clinch 2nd spot and an immediate return to the Premier League when out-of-form Boro arrive in Suffolk.

This bet has landed in eight of Ipswich's last nine. They forced 3+ saves out of their opposition keeper in eight straight games until Tuesday night's loss at Pompey.

In four of the seven games that Boro have played against the four sides above them in the league, their goalkeeper has made three or more saves. Making four on three of those occasions.

Ipswich rank 3rd for shots per game and shots on target per game in the Championship. In recent games against sides in the current top 10, they had five shots on target v Norwich, four v Millwall, seven v Hull and six v Wrexham - the kind of numbers that'll give us a run for our money at 1.73 to land this leg.