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Lugano

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Luzern

ABC Tips

Football
Andy Robson

Andy's Saturday Accumulator @ 4.01

Luzern have been a good side to back for entertaining games across recent weeks with each of their last five matches across all competitions seeing BTTS. 

Luzern have come out on top in three of these games, and the reason that they’ve been so competitive is because Luzern are trying to break into the Championship group spots in the Swiss Super League.

The initial league meeting between these sides produced seven goals as Lugano ran out 5-2 winners over Luzern, with that game seeing a combined xG of 2.37 - suggesting that both sides were quite clinical on the day.

Luzern have seen 45 goals across their 14 away matches in the Swiss Super League this term (23 scored, 22 conceded - 3.21 per game). The gap between Luzern and the Championship group spots now sits at eight points so they must win here to keep their hopes of qualifying for the Championship group alive.

Leicester are in real trouble following their six point deduction and subsequent poor run of form with Gary Rowett’s side now sitting in the relegation zone, though they are just one point from safety. 

Leicester have failed to win any of their last five matches across all competitions, conceding 2+ goals in four of these games - their lack of defensive solidity extends further with the Foxes without a clean sheet in their last 10 matches across all competitions.

Ipswich have found some form over recent weeks and come into this clash having won each of their last three matches, scoring 2+ goals in two of these games. Ipswich have won 12 of their 18 matches at Portman Road this season, netting 34 goals across these games (1.88 per game). Only Coventry (36) have scored more goals at home than Ipswich in the Championship this season.

Leicester have only won four of their 18 matches on the road this season, notably conceding 31 goals across these games (1.72 per game). It’s hard to see how the Foxes tighten up at the back for this clash against an Ipswich side that is in good form - and can close the three point gap to the automatic promotion spots with victory here.

PSV are more than capable of covering this line on their own, which is what they did when the sides met earlier in the season as they ran out 5-1 winners over Alkmaar. 

There aren’t many sides as dominant as PSV in the Eredivisie, they are clearly the best side in the division - and the only way they really get beat is being edged out in a high scoring affair which was the case as they lost 3-2 to Nijmegen last time out. 

Each of the last six head to head meetings between these sides, stretching back to 2023, has seen 3+ goals. PSV have seen 3+ goals in each of their last five matches across all competitions, while Alkmaar have seen 3+ goals in three of their last five matches across all competitions.

PSV have only lost one of their 12 home games in the Eredivisie this season, with these games producing 56 goals (4.66 per game). Alkmaar’s games on the road tend to be pretty end to end with only one draw from their 13 away games - these matches have produced 36 goals (2.76 per game).

Juventus contested a crazy 3-3 draw with Roma last time out, but this assignment should be more straightforward with the Old Lady taking on a Pisa side that have lost four of their last five matches across all competitions, and find themselves nine points adrift of safety at the bottom of Serie A.

Pisa have only managed to win one of their 27 matches in Serie A this season, conceding the third most goals in the division (44) and being the joint second lowest scorers (20). Their away record is even worse - Pisa are the only side in Serie A yet to win an away game this season, which should make this a relatively straightforward task for Juventus.

Juventus ran out 2-0 winners when these sides met earlier in the season, and were very comfortable in that victory with seven shots on target to Pisa’s zero and a vastly superior xG (1.74-0.65). Juventus have plenty to fight for as well, they currently occupy a Conference League place but the Champions League spots are within reach if they can put together a strong run of form.

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