Man City don’t actually have many clinical finishers. Haaland dominates in this metric with his 22 goals accounting for 36% of City’s total goals in the Premier League this season. Only Semenyo has entered double digits for goals in the Premier League in the City squad other than Haaland, with most of those goals coming for Bournemouth.

Foden is then the next top scorer on the list with seven goals to his name, but it’s clear that Haaland and Semenyo are City’s biggest shot and goal threats. Semenyo is priced a lot more generously for a shot on target here when compared to Haaland, you can back the Norwegian for a shot on target at 1.17, so taking 1.4 here for our Bet Builder is a much more appealing price, given Semenyo’s strong record in front of goal this term.

Only Haaland (19) has scored more non-penalty goals in the Premier League this season than Semenyo (14). He’s had 36 shots on target across his 29 Premier League starts this term, working out to an average of 1.25 shots on target per 90. He took three shots when the sides last met, as City claimed a 2-1 win over Liverpool, with one of those efforts finding the target.

Szoboszlai has easily been Liverpool’s best player this season, and I like backing him for shots because he isn’t afraid to take on speculative efforts.

I think Szoboszlai being a central player for Liverpool this season has improved his confidence and overall end product. He was already one of the hardest working players in the Liverpool side, but has added those extra bits of quality to his game which have taken him to a level just a tad below the world class tag.

Szoboszlai has taken 58 shots across his 29 starts in the Premier League this season (2.01 per 90), resulting in five goals for the Hungarian. He also has taken 29 shots across his 10 starts in the Champions League this term (2.95 per 90), netting five goals in the process. These goal tallies signify Szoboszlai’s best ever scoring season in a Liverpool shirt.

Szoboszlai scored and had three shots in the most recent meeting between these sides, despite lining up as a right back on that occasion. His role on free kicks can also help him get over this shot line, which is generously priced. 

I come back to this angle quite frequently when betting on Liverpool, mainly because Gravenberch is so consistent when it comes to winning fouls. 

One of his best traits is finding a way out of tight areas, he’s excellent at opening his body up to progress the ball through the thirds and although he has looked a little tired at times this season - he’s still maintained a solid record when it comes to winning fouls.

Gravenberch has drawn 36 fouls across his 29 Premier League appearances this term, working out to an average of 1.29 fouls won per 90. He was fouled five times by City in the most recent meeting between the sides from 63 touches, accounting for 31% of the total fouls that City committed in that game (16).

Gravenberch was also fouled once when City beat Liverpool 3-0 at the Etihad earlier in the campaign. If you want to stop Liverpool progressing through the thirds, stopping Gravenberch as often as possible is key, and this context should result in the Liverpool man being fouled at least once here.

Both league meetings between these sides this season have seen exactly three goals, with City coming away 3-0 winners in the clash at the Etihad and claiming a last gasp 2-1 victory over Liverpool at Anfield.

I don’t trust either of these backlines at the moment, and think that the expected rotation from both sides will lead to a more open game, rather than take away from the entertainment of the contest. Liverpool have seen 3+ goals in both of their FA Cup matches so far this season, and have seen 48 goals across their 16 away matches in the Premier League (3.0 per game). 

No side has scored more goals at home in the Premier League this season than City (36 - 2.4 per game) - they could cover this line on their own, as they did when the sides first met this term. Man City also have the luxury of having a free week after this game, while Liverpool take on PSG in the Champions League. 

Both league meetings between these sides this season have featured exactly three goals - Manchester City won 3-0 at the Etihad, and then snatched a late 2-1 victory over Liverpool at Anfield in their most recent clash.

I don’t trust either backline right now, and I think the expected rotation from both teams will open the game up rather than reduce the entertainment. Liverpool have seen three or more goals in both of their FA Cup matches this season, and their 16 away Premier League games have produced 48 goals (exactly 3.0 per game).

No side has scored more goals at home in the Premier League this season than Manchester City (36 goals, 2.4 per game), suggesting City could cover this line on their own - just like they did in the first meeting. City also have the advantage of a free week after this match, while Liverpool face PSG in the Champions League.