ABC Tips

Whittaker has had 100 shots this season for ‘Boro, at a rate of 3.36 per 90. He’s netted 14 league goals in the process which is excellent, and he’s always looking to cut in and get strikes off with his left foot.

Whittaker has averaged 1.07 shots on target per 90 minutes this season and has had seven shots on target in his last seven outings.

Finals like this can be decided on individual brilliance and Whittaker is one of the players out there who has the ability to make something happen.

He’s had five shots and two on target against Hull this season and netted in the away match against them.

Morris has drawn a ridiculous 94 fouls this season, an average of 2.56 per 90 minutes and is comfortably the most fouled player in the Middlesbrough team.

Again, expecting ‘Boro to have plenty of the ball and Hull will be on the back foot. They’re not shy of a physical battle, they committed 11 and 17 fouls in the two league meetings with Middlesbrough this season.

Matt Crooks and Regan Slater average over 3.00 fouls per 90 between them in the centre of the park for Hull, with Crooks being especially overzealous with his 2.30 fouls per 90 minutes.

Ayling’s numbers aren’t incredible across the season, but they have spiked recently and at 34 years old, perhaps this long and arduous season is starting to get to him a touch.

Ayling has committed one or more fouls in five of his last seven and has made four fouls in his last three matches, including committing two in the second-leg of the play-off semi-final.

This is of course an extremely high-pressure game, where the need to take a smart or tactical foul is far more likely. Ayling his aggressive in his tackles, but being on the outside of a three there is a chance he’s exposed in 1v1 situations.

Hull’s GK has averaged 3.16 saves per 90 so far this season and has been forced into three or more saves in five of his last seven matches. He also had to make five in the previous meeting with ‘Boro.

The bookies have Middlesbrough as strong favourites at 1.80, and I expect them to have plenty of the ball and plenty of opportunities. Hull will have to stay solid and fend them off.

The ideal scenario here would be Whittaker forcing a save from Ivor Pandur in The Tiger’s goal.

Morgan Whittaker has been brilliant for Middlesbrough this season, registering 21 goal contributions across his 35 starts in the Championship from a combined xG + xA of just 12.0.

This is a notable overachievement, but shows how Whittaker's confidence is seeing him take on speculative efforts and also suggests that his teammates are putting away the chances he creates (1.43 per 90). No Boro player has registered more goal contributions in the Championship this season than Whittaker, with the winger registering a goal and an assist when Boro beat Hull 4-1 earlier in the season.

Whittaker is one of a few players in the Championship who look ready to make the step up to the Premier League, and his impressive goal contribution numbers are supported by strong underlying numbers despite the gap that does exist between his expected totals and actual returns this time.

There's a smidge of value here too, Whittaker is priced as short as 1.8 with some bookmakers to register a goal contribution here - and this angle is covered by Super Sub.

Girona have only kept six clean sheets in LaLiga this season (16%), they must win here to be sure of their chances of avoiding the drop.

Elche need just a point, but have the worst away record in the division - winning just one of their 18 away matches this term.

Elche have seen BTTS in four of their last five matches in LaLiga, winning two of these games.

Elche have conceded 37 goals on the road in LaLiga this season, only Real Oviedo (39) have shipped more goals on their travels.

Mallorca must win and hope other results go their way to survive in LaLiga for another season.

Real Oviedo sit rock bottom of LaLiga and have nothing to fight for having already been relegated from the Spanish top flight.

Real Oviedo have only won two of their 18 away matches in LaLiga this season, scoring just 17 goals.

76% of Mallorca’s points in LaLiga this season have come in front of their own supporters.

Mallorca rank ninth for their home record in LaLiga, losing just four of their 18 home matches this term.

Middlesbrough have been reinstated to the play-off final following Southampton’s expulsion from the competition.

The initial league meeting between these sides in the Championship produced five goals as Boro came away 4-1 winners.

Boro have seen 2+ goals in three of their last five matches across all competitions.

Hull scored twice away from home against Millwall to book their spot in the playoff final. 

Bayern have won each of the last five head to head meetings between the sides, scoring 16 goals and conceding just 4.

Bayern have only lost one of their last 24 matches across all competitions, which was in the Champions League against PSG.

Stuttgart are unbeaten across their last four matches, but only managed to win one of these games.

Stuttgart finished 27 points behind Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga, highlighting the substantial gap between the sides.