Strahinja Pavlovic was fouled three times against Sassuolo last time out, taking his average to 0.95 fouls drawn per 90 for the season, which is relatively high for a centre back. The 24-year-old is adept when it comes to drawing soft free kicks at the back, allowing AC Milan to establish themselves on the ball. The 24-year-old has landed this bet in 10 of his last 12 starts across all competitions.
He has an excellent opportunity to improve that hit-rate this weekend, as Atalanta tend to be quite direct in their play, looking to get their centre forward as involved as possible. It will be a toss-up between Gianluca Scamacca and Nikola Krstovic to lead the line, and they are both very physical players. Scamacca is averaging 1.93 fouls per 90 across all competitions this season, while Krstovic’s average sits at 2.28 fouls per 90.
