Morgan Gibbs-White has come alive in the Europa League this season, registering five goal contributions across his six starts in the competition and taking 17 shots across these games (2.80 per 90). 

Of these efforts, 11 have found the target (1.81 per 90), which represents a substantial increase in Gibbs-White’s shot and shot on target numbers in the Premier League. Gibbs-White has netted a further eight goals in the Premier League this season, from a shot on target average of 0.76 per 90.

The increase in his accuracy in the Europa League is likely down to the extra time and space that he is afforded in the competition compared to when he plays in the Premier League. 

These sides faced off in the league phase of the Europa League in a game that ended in a 3-2 win for Midtjylland. Gibbs-White had two shots in that game, with one of these efforts finding the target - showing how Gibbs-White can live up to his average shot and shots on target numbers in the Europa League again in this clash.

This line might seem quite high at the price, but there aren’t many players better to back in this market than Elliot Anderson. In the league phase meeting between the sides earlier in the season, Anderson ended the game with 12 foul involvements.

I had to go and look at his numbers a few times from that game just to make sure I was reading them correctly, though Anderson is capable of these sorts of monstrous foul numbers regularly. If you combine Anderson’s foul won and foul committed numbers in the Europa League this season, he’s averaging 5.74 foul involvements per 90.

Even if we look at Anderson’s numbers over a larger sample size, he’s averaging 3.71 foul involvements per 90 in the Premier League this term across his 29 starts in the division. It’s clear that Anderson is a magnet for foul involvements, and the 12 he managed in the most recent head-to-head meeting between the sides would suggest that at least four foul involvements are possible here.

Midtjylland ran out 3-2 winners when these sides faced off earlier in the season, and managed to have five shots on target and draw one save from Metz Sels, with their other effort on target being cleared off the line.

Matz Sels hasn’t been the busiest keeper in the Europa League this season with six saves across his five starts in the competition (1.20 per 90). However, Midtjylland have the firepower to cause Nottingham Forest problems - they finished third in the league phase, winning six of their eight matches and netting 18 goals in the process (2.25 per game).

Only three sides have had more shots on target than Midtjylland in the Europa League this season (5.90 per game), so the Danish side have the appropriate quality at the front end to force a rise in Sels’ relatively low save numbers in the Europa League this season.

The meeting between these sides in the league phase produced five goals as Midtjylland ran out 3-2 winners at the City Ground. Midtjylland have seen 26 goals across their eight league phase matches in the Europa League this season, working out to an average of 3.25 goals per game.

Forest’s matches in the Europa League have been pretty entertaining this season too, with 22 goals across their eight league phase matches (2.75 per game), and a further six goals across the two legs of their playoff tie against Fenerbahce - with both of those legs seeing 3+ goals. 

Forest also look a bit more open under Vitor Pereira, which is reflected in the goal tallies across their recent matches. Forest have seen 2+ goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions, while Midtjylland have seen 2+ goals in three of their last five matches across all competitions.