Cardiff ran out 4-0 winners when thessides met earlier in the season, but this meeting should be more competitive with Cardiff looking to strengthen their spot at the top of the table and Plymouth looking to cut the gap to the play-off spots in League One.
Plymouth have seen 3+ goals in each of their last four games ahead of this clash, and have seen 41 goals across their 16 home games in the division this season (2.56 per game). Plymouth have only managed to win five of those games, which is a record that should encourage Cardiff when combined with their convincing win over Plymouth when the sides last met.
Cardiff are unbeaten across their last five matches in League One, with all five of those matches seeing 3+ goals. They’ve managed to cover this line themselves in four of these recent matches, suggesting that Cardiff could cover this line again on their own - as they did in the reverse fixture.