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I’m quite surprised to see how far down Joao Pedro is in the market for a shot on target given his recent form, you can back six players at a better price for a shot on target in this clash which isn’t where I would have him given his current form and increased shot volume under Liam Rosenior.

I think Rosenior has struggled with being in the limelight a bit at times, but what is a clear strength of his is his personal relationship with his players which allows him to develop them. Joao Pedro was not shooting enough for a striker when Rosenior first stepped into the club, but is now operating at a shot volume of 2.38 per 90.

Joao Pedro has improved this rate further in his last few matches with five shots against Aston Villa and four efforts against Arsenal. When a striker is playing with confidence, they are more likely to take on shots and also demand the ball from their teammates. Joao Pedro is the most influential player in the Chelsea squad at the moment, and he has previous against PSG having netted against the club in the Club World Cup final.

This has been one of my go to selections when betting on Chelsea this season, especially in matches where the Blues are faced by a daunting away trip. One of the more buried facts about the Blueco era at Chelsea is just how poor they have been on the road against big six clubs since the new ownership took over.

Across Chelsea’s last 19 away matches against Manchester United, Liverpool, Arsenal and Manchester City - Chelsea have won just once. The Blues have the worst record of any of these sides, losing 12 of these games which I think highlights the main issue at Chelsea which is one that hasn’t changed since the new ownership and is actually quite obvious to most people looking in at the club.

Chelsea’s squad is too young and inexperienced, which naturally leads to petulance. Chelsea have picked up 13 yellow cards across their eight matches in the Champions League this season (1.6 per game) - which is bound to increase in the knockout stages of the competition.

Only three sides in the Premier League have picked up more cards than Chelsea (2.31 per game), and that aggression should translate to the Champions League now we are in the serious phase of the competition.

Luis Enrique really isn’t afraid to chop and change players in his squad, no matter how key they may seem, and this precedent also applies to the goalkeeper. Lucas Chevalier was brought in at the start of the campaign as a replacement for Donnarumma - but he has spent the last nine games on the bench for the reigning European champions.

I never thought Donnarumma needed replacing if I’m honest, but Enrique’s argument was that he wanted a keeper that is better with his feet - a common wish of modern managers. Matvey Safonov has taken Chevalier’s place over these recent matches and has been forced into making 17 saves across his eight starts in Ligue 1 (2.12 saves per 90).

Safonov also played in both legs of PSG’s triumph over Monaco in the playoff round to reach this stage of the competition, and is maintaining a save average of exactly 2.00 saves per 90 in the Champions League this term. Monaco managed to score four goals in that tie, so I think PSG aren’t quite solid enough at the back to keep Chelsea from testing their goalkeeper on at least two occasions. 

Both legs of PSG’s playoff tie against Monaco produced at least nine corners, with PSG registering eight corners in each match. That trend holds up more broadly under Luis Enrique - seven of PSG’s 10 Champions League fixtures this term have featured nine or more total corners.

On home soil in Europe this season, PSG have earned 33 corners across five matches, averaging 6.60 per game. Chelsea, for their part, are averaging exactly four corners per game on their Champions League travels this season and under Liam Rosenior, they’ve looked especially vulnerable from set pieces.

Rosenior has now overseen 15 matches as Chelsea boss, with 12 of those games (80%) seeing nine or more corners. Opponents are clearly targeting Chelsea from dead-ball situations, and PSG have both the quality and territorial control to do the same. 

That said, Chelsea pose a threat from such scenarios too - six of their 17 Champions League goals this season have come from penalties or set pieces, and they managed to rack up 10 corners in a recent away trip to Arsenal.

Desire Doue is one of the best players to watch in the world, and he’s incredibly effective as well as being a player you’d pay to go and see. Doue registered a goal contribution in both legs of PSG’s triumph over Monaco in the playoff round to reach this stage of the competition, netting twice in the first leg and setting up a goal in the reverse fixture.

Doue loves playing in the Champions League, he registered eight goal contributions across eight starts in the Champions League last time - including scoring in the final - and has so far registered five goal contributions in the competition across just three starts. 

His campaign has been hampered by injuries, likely due the overload that PSG faced last term by reaching the final of the Champions League and then the Club World Cup. However, Doue looks to have moved past those injury issues now and comes into this game with momentum having registered four goal contributions in his last five appearances across all competitions.

Enzo Fernandez’s role under Liam Rosenior has been fascinating to watch so far. It’s clear that the former Strasbourg boss does not see Fernandez as a deep lying midfielder, and wants to use his abilities further up the pitch which is why we’re looking at him for a shot on target in this clash.

This is Fernandez’s most productive season at Chelsea so far when measuring by goal output, he’s netted 12 goals in his 49 appearances for Chelsea across all competitions - with two of these goals coming in the Champions League. He’s taken 15 shots across his seven starts in the Champions League this term (2.26 per 90), which also represents an increase on his shot numbers in European competition last season (1.32 shots per 90).

Furthermore, Enzo Fernandez is averaging 0.90 shots on target per 90 in the Premier League this term - adding an extra layer of evidence to his chances of finding the target in this clash. The increase in his attacking output has been clear this season, and Liam Rosenior seeing Fernandez as a more advanced player should see the Argentine get away at least one attempt on target in this clash.

Chelsea’s tactical plan in the Club World Cup final centred around trying to expose the space left in behind PSG’s fullbacks, particularly Nuno Mendes. Chelsea utilised the speed of Malo Gusto in that clash, who constantly made runs beyond the fullback and set up one of Chelsea’s goals as they ran out 3-0 winners.

Luis Enrique will obviously be more aware of that threat this time around, but I don’t think it will deter him from playing in that way. Mendes has continued to bomb forward for PSG this term and often has to make recovery tackles as a result - making him an ideal option to pick up a card in this clash.

Mendes committed two fouls and was shown a yellow card in that Club World Cup final, and there should be quite a lot of traffic down his side again with the duo of Palmer and Gusto likely to be utilised in a similar manner. This gives Mendes two very different threats to think about, which can lead to his third card in the Champions League this term - he’s currently the only PSG player to have picked up two yellow cards in the Champions League this season.

Achraf Hakimi has had an injury-hit campaign so far, but the Moroccan international seems to have returned to full fitness, and he has seen plenty of attacking involvement in recent weeks.

Hakimi has landed this selection in each of his last five matches across all competitions, and even got on the scoresheet against Monaco in the Champions League. He has hit this mark in six of seven European starts this campaign, failing only against Bayern Munich. However, the 27-year-old had to be replaced at half-time in that clash after suffering an injury. 

Hakimi has landed this selection against Barcelona already this season, and he also recorded two attempts when PSG hosted Newcastle in the league phase. Despite being listed as a fullback, Hakimi seizes every available opportunity to get into the final third and doesn’t hesitate to pull the trigger. Most of his shots this season have come from outside the box, and he is also the free-kick taker for the Parisians. 

Moises Caicedo ranks fifth out of all Premier League players for total fouls committed this season, averaging 1.72 fouls per 90. He has been even more aggressive in the Champions League, and that figure rises to 1.88 fouls per 90. 

Caicedo has landed this selection in six of his eight starts in the competition overall, including all four of his European away outings. Caicedo racked up three fouls against Napoli last time out in the Champions League and was fortunate to escape a booking. He also registered two infringements against Bayern Munich at the Allianz Arena in the league phase.  

Once again, the Ecuador international will expect to be kept busy on Wednesday night, as Chelsea travel to the Parc des Princes to face PSG. Caicedo will have to deal with the likes of Kvicha Kvaratskhelia, Desire Doue, and Vitinha, which promises to be no easy task. 

This is set to be a very entertaining tie between two sides who won’t sit back and have plenty of attacking talent. PSG come into this game having seen BTTS in three of their last five matches across all competitions, including both legs of their playoff tie against Monaco.

Chelsea have been impressive at times under Liam Rosenior, but keeping clean sheets hasn’t been their strength, with the Blues managing just three clean sheets across Rosenior’s 15 games in charge so far - with two of these coming against Pafos and Hull City. 

Chelsea have seen BTTS in 11 of these games, showing how Rosenior's ultra modern structure and approach usually leads to goals at both ends. There’s plenty of needle between these sides as well, with PSG losing 3-0 to Chelsea in the Club World Cup final last summer - paving the way for both sides to go blow for blow in this first leg tie.