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Nijmegen

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Football
Andy Robson

Andy's Saturday Accumulator @ 4.05

Nijmegen have become a bit of a favourite in our Saturday and Sunday accumulators, and they are yet to really let us down when backing their matches for goals. Nijmegen have been the most entertaining sides to follow across Europe this season, their matches regularly see action at both ends due to their intense, borderline insane approach to matches at times.

Nijmegen have seen BTTS in four of their last five matches across all competitions, with the exception of a 3-0 win over Volendam last time out - who struggle for attacking quality. They managed to run out 3-2 winners in the most recent head to head meeting between the sides, which was in the KNVB Cup but the recent league meetings between the sides also offer promise with each of the last two clashes seeing BTTS and a combined tally of 14 goals.

PSV have seen BTTS in each of their last five matches across all competitions, and have seen 59 goals across their 13 home matches in the Eredivisie this term (4.53 per game). Keeping clean sheets isn’t a massive part of PSV’s game, despite them leading the way in the Eredivisie - with four sides managing to keep more shutouts than the league leaders so far this term (6).

This game is set up perfectly for goals at both ends with neither side looking particularly convincing at the back across recent weeks. Both sides saw BTTS in their Champions League clashes during the week as Newcastle drew 1-1 with Barcelona, while Chelsea collapsed to a 5-2 defeat at the hands of PSG.

Both sides have seen BTTS in each of their last five matches across all competitions, with Chelsea only managing to keep three clean sheets across their 16 matches under Rosenior so far. Rosenior’s tenure so far has similarities to Pochettino’s time at the club, I think he’s popular with the players - but his style is chaotic and a bit naive, as PSG exposed during the week.

Newcastle have seen BTTS in each of their last 13 matches across all competitions, stretching back to a 2-0 defeat against Aston Villa back at the end of January. Eddie Howe’s side are missing Bruno Guimaraes quite a lot at the moment, but still have the individual quality to cause opposition sides problems.

The most recent league meeting between these sides produced four goals as Chelsea came from behind to earn a 2-2 draw. That clash produced a combined xG of 3.53, with both sides registering a tally in excess of 1.0.

The next step on Arsenal’s title path sees Mikel Arteta’s side welcome Everton to the Emirates, where Arsenal have won 11 of their 14 matches in the Premier League. They’ve scored 33 goals across these games (2.35 per game), and have conceded fewer goals than any other side in the division at home (9).

Arsenal come into this clash unbeaten in their last nine matches across all competitions, winning eight of these games. This clash comes at an important time for Mikel Arteta’s side, if Arsenal were to lose this game - then they won’t have another Premier League match until the 11th April.

I have been impressed by Everton at times this season, but do think they will struggle to find a way past this Arsenal backline given that they’ve only scored 16 goals across their 14 away matches this term. David Moyes’ side fell to a 1-0 loss to Arsenal when the sides met earlier in the season, with Arsenal registering an xG of 2.00 to Everton’s 0.20. 

I think Arsenal find a way to get over the line here, it hasn’t always been smooth for Mikel Arteta’s men this season but a victory here, ahead of Manchester City’s trip to West Ham last in the day, could put them in a really commanding position in this title race.

Bayern absolutely battered Atalanta in the first leg of their last 16 tie in the Champions League during the week, netting six goals - all while Harry Kane was on the bench. That commanding victory allows Vincent Kompany to really focus in on this clash, as Bayern look to fully cement their position as the league leaders in the Bundesliga.

Bayern could easily cover this line on their own, they’ve netted 92 goals across their 25 matches in the Bundesliga this season (3.68 per game), with 40 of these goals coming across their 12 away matches (3.33 per game). Bayern covered this goal line on their own when the sides last met, running out 3-0 winners - but I do think Leverkusen can contribute to the goal tally this time around.

Leverkusen did really well to hold Arsenal to a 1-1 draw in their Champions League tie against the Premier League leaders during the week. They would have won that game too if it wasn’t for Arsenal getting a controversial last minute penalty, so they should be relatively confident ahead of this clash. 

They also have plenty to fight for with Leverkusen being three points away from the Champions League spots at the moment. Leverkusen have netted 25 goals across their 12 home games in the Bundesliga this term (2.08 per game), and welcome a Bayern side that have seen 3+ goals in each of their last five matches across all competitions.

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