Valverde is often a player I think that is misprofiled, and I see people backing foul bets with him in, with little substance. More based on his reputation. He is busy, industrious and aggressive, but in his role at right back for Real, with the game largely in front of him, he’s more measured.
However, with issues across the side in terms of injuries, and the return of Trent Alexander-Arnold, he’s been back in midfield.
In midfield, he has made a foul in five of his last six matches, including two at the weekend against Celta Vigo and four in the Champions League play-off against Benfica.
In total, he’s made nine fouls across his last six appearances. That’s an average of 1.60 fouls per 90 minutes, which is a big jump from his domestic average this season of 0.69.
A player who is now averaging 1.60 fouls per 90, shouldn’t be priced at 1.57.
Also, factoring in potential opponents and their fouls drawn numbers, there's a lot to go at here. Rayan Cherki (2.04), Rodri (1.95) and Jeremy Doku (2.86) are three of City’s stat leaders in that department.
