Benfica have been really impressive in the early tenure of Marco Silva, winning six of their opening eight games in Liga Portugal - winning three of their four away matches.

They take on a Santa Clara side who have done well to avoid defeat so far, but are notably yet to take on any of Porto, Sporting and Benfica - which is significant as those three sides are almost in a mini league of their own.

Benfica have won on each of their last four trips to Santa Clara, coming away 2-1 winners in the most recent meeting. Benfica limited Santa Clara to an xG of 0.28 on that occasion, and keeping pace with Benfica’s impressive scoring power is likely to be their main issue here.

No side has scored more goals in the Portuguese top flight than Benfica (24 - 3.0 per game), notably netting 15 goals across just four away assignments (3.75 per game). 

PSG made a sluggish start to the season domestically, but have since picked up - winning each of their last seven matches across all competitions.

They’ve seen 2+ goals in six of these matches as well, with the exception of a 1-0 win over Brest that produced a combined xG of 2.41.

Lyon rotated for their Europa League fixture during the week, losing 3-0 to Hoffenheim. They’ve only managed to win one of their last three trips to the Parc Des Princes, conceding 3+ goals in both defeats.

PSG have generated the highest xG of any side in the French top flight this term (19.0), and I think they have enough to outscore Lyon here - even if the away side can get on the scoresheet.