This is a meeting that regularly produces goals, each of the last seven head to head clashes - stretching back to 2023 - have seen BTTS.

The most recent clash saw Rosenborg come away 2-1 winners as the home side, generating an xG of 2.08 to Sarpsborg’s 0.91. The meeting prior to that also saw BTTS & No Draw, with Sarpsborg getting the better of Rosenborg in that clash with a 3-2 victory.

Recent form is also promising for this angle, Rosenborg have seen BTTS in four of their last five matches with three of these games seeing BTTS & No Draw. Rosenborg have only drawn four of their 22 league games this term, with only one of their 10 away games ending level.

There’s a similar pattern with Sarpsborg’s home games as well, only three of their 10 games have ended level with 24 goals across these games - perfectly split by goals scored and goals conceded. 

Groningen have started the season quite well compared to their pre-season expectations, losing just two of their opening eight matches which has left them just one point behind Ajax ahead of this clash.

Ajax fell to a surprising 2-1 defeat to Hajduk Split during the week, marking the fifth consecutive game where Ajax have seen BTTS. Three of these games have ended in BTTS & No Draw, so it’s clear that Ajax are frequently in high scoring matches.

Groningen have scored nine goals across their four home games so far this term, so I think they’ll have enough firepower to trouble an Ajax backline that has failed to keep a clean sheet across their last six matches.

Fatigue could also play a part here, Ajax had to travel to Croatia during the week while Groningen had a whole week to recover following their 5-1 thrashing of Excelsior on the road. 

Valerenga have seen BTTS in four of their last five matches, seeing BTTS & No Draw in three of these games - including their most recent assignment as they lost 2-1 to KFUM on the road.

That game saw them register an xG of 1.70 from 22 shots despite the defeat, but they did allow KFUM to generate an xG of 2.04 themselves despite taking eight fewer shots than their opponents.

Valerenga are used to being a bit open at the back, they have failed to keep a clean sheet across their last 25 matches. That opens the door for Brann, who have scored 19 goals across their 10 away games this term, to contribute to the overall goal tally.

Each of the last four head to head meetings between these sides, all taking place since 2025, have seen BTTS & No Draw. The most recent clash saw Valerenga come away 3-2 winners with the sides combining to produce an xG of 5.37.

Nijmegen have seen BTTS in each of their last three matches, with all three of these games ending 1-1.

Nijmegen faced an xG against of 1.0 or higher in all three of these matches, suggesting that there is an issue with their defensive structure that opposition sides are starting to work out following their incredible season last year.

They are yet to win a home game in the Eredivisie this season, though their four games have produced 13 goals (3.25 per game). 

Fortuna Sittard actually boast the second strongest away record of any side in the Eredivisie, winning three of their four games on the road so far this term. They’ve scored nine goals across these games, conceding six, and only one of these games has ended level.