Calvert-Lewin has been brilliant for Leeds in the Premier League this season, netting 12 goals across his 27 starts in the division - making him Leeds’ top scorer, four goals ahead of Noah Okafor with eight goals to his name.

Calvert-Lewin found the target from two shots when the sides met earlier in the season, and has taken 69 shots overall in the top-flight (2.51 per 90). He’s seen 31 of those efforts find the target (1.13 per 90), and should be able to pose a threat to Tottenham here, having just netted in Leeds’ 3-1 win over Burnley last time out.

Only seven players have scored more goals in the Premier League this season than Calvert-Lewin, showing his overall level but also how crucial he is to this Leeds side.

Richarlison committed two fouls in Tottenham’s crucial 2-1 win over Aston Villa last time out, taking his total count for the season to 21 fouls across his 17 starts in the Premier League (1.11 per 90).

I think Richarlison is the perfect striker to lead the line for Tottenham at the moment, not solely due to his ability, but also because he’s been in this exact situation before - guiding Everton to safety when they were in trouble a few seasons ago. This experience is crucial when you’re battling at the bottom of the league, and also is an experience that not many other Tottenham players have been through before.

It’s likely that Richarlison faces up against a back three here, so he will be outnumbered when contesting challenges. He gets through quite a lot of work off the ball too, so this busy nature can contribute to Richarlison committing at least one foul in what is a crucial game for both of these sides.

No side has picked up more yellow cards in the Premier League than Tottenham (90 - 2.57 per game). It’s clear that the North London side have struggled with handling the emotions of being in a relegation battle, and that should be particularly relevant here as they face off against one of their direct rivals in the battle to survive in the Premier League.

Tottenham committed 12 fouls and picked up three yellow cards on their trip to Elland Road earlier in the season, showing how Leeds can bring out the aggression we’re looking for from Tottenham. 

Roberto De Zerbi’s presence on the touchline should only fuel the fire more, with his erratic and passionate approach starting to have an effect on the Tottenham players - who played with more fight and grit against Aston Villa last time out than I’ve seen from them all season.

The initial league meeting between these sides saw BTTS as Tottenham came away 2-1 winners over Leeds at Elland Road. That victory feels like an age ago now, when Tottenham were still under the tutelage of Thomas Frank and the Lilywhites now find themselves on the edge of the drop zone - realistically needing all three points here to take the fight to the final few weeks of the campaign with Forest and West Ham also still in the mix.

Tottenham’s home form is one of the main reasons why they find themselves in the lower reaches of the table, they’ve only managed to win two of their 17 home matches in the Premier League this season (v Brentford and Burnley) and have picked up the joint fewest points at home of any Premier League side (11), level with Burnley. Tottenham have notably conceded 30 goals across these games, which should give the appropriate encouragement to Leeds.

Both sides saw BTTS in their most recent assignments, both winning games against Aston Villa and Burnley. I can see chances for both sides here given the context, neither side has a real advantage over the other so i’m happy to take BTTS at this price as the relegation battle in the Premier League inches closer towards a conclusion.