Tuesday

Villarreal v PSG Tips

Latest tips for Villarreal v PSG from Andy Robson and his team of experts.

Football

Tuesday's Champions League Accumulator 🇪🇺🏆 @ 3.61

Andy Robson

My Sunday Acca won @ 3.81

Villarreal look just a little off the level of the Champions League, which was evident in their last outing in the competition as they conceded four goals to Liverpool at Anfield.

They’ve conceded in all three of their Champions League matches, conceding 2+ goals in two of these games against Dortmund and Liverpool.

They conceded an xG of 1.70 against Napoli in the one game where this selection didn’t land, and a side with the attacking quality of PSG will be able to punish their defence more than the Italian side did.

PSG have scored at least four goals in every Champions League game so far, including clashes against Barcelona and Man City.

They’ve scored 2+ goals in each of their last seven matches, and Luis Enrique will see this as an opportunity to secure PSG’s spot in the top eight as they’re already flawless in the competition with three wins from three.

Building on the obvious weakness of Barcelona at the back, Aston Villa have enough quality in forward areas to get on the scoresheet.

It would be a real shock if Barcelona didn’t manage to get on the scoresheet here, they’ve scored in each of their last 16 competitive matches - including every game this season.

So we’re mainly looking at Villa to score here, with Jackson and Manzambi being their main threats. Unai Emery’s side have scored at least three goals in every Champions League game so far.

This is an obvious step up in quality from those opponents, but I can’t get away from Barcelona’s risky style of play here which will inevitably lead to Villa getting decent chances in front of goal.

Barcelona have seen BTTS in each of their last five matches, including conceding goals to Deportivo La Coruna and Galatasaray. They also have seen BTTS in all three of their Champions League games.

Bayern have seen this selection land in each of their last 10 matches across all competitions, including all three of their Champions League games against Arsenal, Viking and Bodo Glimt.

Bayern have covered this line on their own in two of those games, and have also notably failed to keep a clean sheet across their last seven matches. That recent record would suggest that Atletico can contribute to the goal tally here in what should be an end to end and entertaining match.

Atletico’s recent matches have admittedly been a lot tighter, but their last two Champions League games have seen a red card produced in the second half - massively affecting the gamestate. They did see 3+ goals on Matchday 1, losing 2-1 to Liverpool at Anfield.

It’s hard to see how Atletico can get any success here by just being defensive solid. They have to offer an attacking threat to match the scoring power of Bayern, who have seen 3+ goals in 88% of their Bundesliga matches and 100% of their Champions League matches.

Man Utd are winless across their last nine matches, conceding multiple goals in each of their last three games against Chelsea, Bournemouth and Como.

There’s actually an argument to suggest that Carrick and his side may prefer playing away from Old Trafford at the moment, due to the growing toxicity in the ground which was evident against Bournemouth a few weeks ago.

Roma are flying under Gian Piero Gasperini, they scored five at the weekend against Udinese and have scored in each of their last six matches - netting multiple times in all of these games, including three goals against Real Madrid.

Roma have only failed to score in one game all season, which was an away defeat to Como where Roma were reduced to 10 men early in the second half. Malen in particular is playing really well, netting eight goals in Serie A already - he could be the one to get on the scoresheet for the away side.

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