Although Palace are understandable favourites to come out on top here, they’ve been priced as short as 1.3 to do so. The evidence suggests that the value lies in backing Zrinjski with a +2 handicap at an implied probability of just under 60%.
Across their 14 European outings, which span the UCL, UEL, and UECL, the Bosnian outfit have avoided defeat in nine and kept within a goal of their opponents in 11. When you include their domestic results as well, Zrinjski have brought this selection home in 83% of their games.
Crystal Palace, meanwhile, have managed only seven victories by a 2+ goal margin, across all competitions, meaning this line has landed in 82% of their matches to date. Oliver Glasner’s men are enduring their worst run of form this season, with their last 14 consisting of eight losses, five draws, and a single win.
