Dortmund

Monza's away games have been full of action this season, with both teams scoring in all five of them.

Their attack has been the main highlight so far.

They've scored in every Serie A game, while Gustavo Varela is the league's top scorer with eight goals in eight games.

The problem is their defence.

Monza have conceded 22 goals this season, and only Sassuolo have let in as many as that.

Away from home, they're letting in an average of 2.8 goals per game.

Bologna have been struggling defensively at home too, conceding in all four games and averaging 1.64 xGA.

On the other hand, their attack has been getting better.

They've scored 10 goals in their last five league games, including a 4-2 win over Milan, with Samuel Mbangula grabbing a hat-trick.

With both attacks in good form and neither defence looking particularly solid, there's a good chance we'll see goals at both ends here.

Werder Bremen have seen both teams score in all seven Bundesliga games this season and average seven shots on target per game, the 2nd-highest in the league.

They've also got the league's top scorer, Niclas Füllkrug, who's scored eight goals in seven games. 

He showed once again that he can cause problems even for strong defences, scoring twice against Dortmund in the German Cup in midweek.

Hoffenheim have been looking dangerous going forward too, averaging 18 shots and 1.9 xG per game.

They've scored in all three away games so far, but have also conceded seven goals, including three against Paderborn, one of the lowest-scoring teams in the league.

The defences are another big reason to fancy BTTS here.

Neither side has been particularly good at keeping goals out, with both conceding an average of two goals per game in the Bundesliga.

Fredrikstad have seen both teams score in their last seven league games and have conceded in 21 of their 24 Eliteserien matches this season.

At home, they've scored in 10 of their 11 games, including against Bodø/Glimt and Viking, two of the best defensive teams in the league.

Defence has been one of Fredrikstad's biggest problems, with 41 goals conceded this season and an average of 1.73 xGA per game.

Rosenborg are a real threat going forward, averaging almost two goals per game and coming into this one in great form, having scored 15 goals in their last five league matches.

Amin Chiakha has been their standout player, scoring 15 league goals and finding the net in five straight games.

Despite having one of the best defences in the league, Rosenborg are averaging 1.61 xGA away from home.

Another reason to fancy BTTS here is that Rosenborg have recently conceded against Kristiansund and Sandefjord, two of the lowest-scoring teams in the Eliteserien.

NEC Nijmegen are definitely a team to keep an eye on for BTTS this Eredivisie season, with both teams scoring in nine of their 10 league games.

They've conceded in every single league game, including against PEC Zwolle and Willem II, the two lowest-scoring teams in the competition.

Away from home, NEC are averaging two goals and 1.74 xG per game, and they've even managed to score against Ajax, who have one of the best defences in the league.

Heerenveen have been looking good going forward too, scoring seven goals in their last two league games and averaging 1.63 xG this season.

Jacob Trenskow has been in great form, scoring twice in his last game and taking his tally to six league goals, making him Heerenveen's main attacking threat.

Heerenveen will need to be careful, though.

They're giving away an average of 14 shots per home game and are now facing an NEC side who might struggle to keep a clean sheet, but rarely fail to score themselves.

Bayern Munich head into this big game with the best attack in the Bundesliga, having scored 25 goals in seven matches.

Their numbers at home are even more impressive, with 18 goals in just three games, an average of six per match.

Despite being so strong going forward, Bayern have conceded in their last six games in all competitions, including against Augsburg, Viking and even second-division Magdeburg.

Dortmund have the best defence in the Bundesliga, but they've struggled to keep clean sheets against teams with strong attacks, like Werder Bremen and Bayern themselves in the Super Cup.

The two sides met back in August in a game where both teams scored and Dortmund allowed Bayern 21 shots.

The good news for Dortmund is that they've got Guirassy, who scored seven goals in all competitions and has been their biggest attacking threat, helping the team average 1.65 xG in the Bundesliga.

The last five meetings between Bayern and Dortmund have all seen goals at both ends, and with both attacks looking dangerous lately, BTTS looks like a great option here.

Saturday night’s Milan derby at the San Siro has all the makings of an entertaining encounter, and I’m backing both teams to score.

There has been an uptick in goals across Serie A this season, and these two heavyweights have been big contributors.

Indeed, both teams have scored in six of AC Milan’s opening nine league games of the season, with Inter posting an identical record. 

Even more encouraging is the fact that AC Milan come into this clash off the back of a 4-2 home defeat to Bologna on Wednesday night, while they have beaten Atalanta 3-2 in recent weeks and drew 2-2 away at Lazio last month.

As for Inter, they have also been involved in some high-scoring contests this season, particularly against Serie A’s big hitters, defeating Napoli 3-2 and drawing 2-2 with Roma.

Even in Europe, Christian Chivu’s side have found the net in Champions League defeats to Real Madrid and Club Brugge this season, strengthening the case for each team to oblige.

Michael Olise is one of the Bundesliga's top scorers this season, with six goals in seven games, along with three assists.

The Frenchman is averaging 4.3 shots and 2.57 shots on target per game, and he's hit the target in all seven league matches so far.

At home, Olise has scored five goals in three games, while Bayern have already found the net 18 times at the Allianz Arena, an incredible average of six goals per game.

Dortmund might have the best defence in the Bundesliga, but they conceded twice against Bremen in the German Cup on Tuesday and another two against Bayern in the Super Cup.

Olise scored against Dortmund and had five shots in their last meeting, and he could play a big part in helping Bayern find the net against their rivals again this Saturday.

If their Super Cup clash was anything to go by, this should be a very competitive game.

That meeting ended in a 2-1 Bayern win, landing this bet, and both teams' stats for it to land again look particularly strong.

It’s no secret that Bayern are a powerhouse going forward, scoring the most goals in the Bundesliga this season (25) from the highest xG in the league (23.81). 

However, it’s their leaky defence that interests me.

They’ve seen BTTS land in five of their seven league games, stretching to 10 games (all comps), including their two DFB-Pokal ties against teams from the second division. 

They’ve also seen over 2.5 goals in six of their seven league games this season, with it landing in all but one game (all comps).

Dortmund’s games have been high-scoring too, with seven of their games (all comps) seeing over 2.5 goals, whilst their goalscoring record also looks very sustainable against their xG, scoring 12 goals from an xG of 11.52. 

Their defence has been better than Bayern’s, only allowing their opponents to score in two games this season, but Bayern are a different beast, especially at home, and are priced at just 1.03 to score.

Not much needs to be said here, after winning the Ballon d’Or on Monday, Kane will be wanting to show exactly why he’s the best player in the world, and I think he will do just that.

He’s hit the target at least once in 11 of his 12 appearances for Bayern this season and averages 1.68 shots on target per 90. 

He gives himself plenty of opportunities to test the keeper too, averaging 5.21 shots per 90, with those being spread both inside and outside the box (18 shots inside, 13 shots outside). 

He’s on penalties as always as well, there’ll be plenty of opportunities for him to hit the target tonight.

With injuries to both Karetsas and Konstantelias, Guirassy will be leading Dortmund’s line tonight, which should give him ample opportunity to test the Bayern keeper.

He has recorded the most shots on target of any Dortmund player this season with 10, averaging 1.62 shots on target from 3.39 shots per 90.

He is a real threat aerially too, with 1.18 of his average shots per 90 coming from headers.

Dortmund average 5.0 accurate crosses per game, recording 19 crosses in their Super Cup clash, so there will likely be chances in the air for him tonight too.

I mentioned Bayern’s defensive record earlier, conceding in 10 of their 13 games (all comps), and I think their high defensive line could give Guirassy some freedom in behind tonight, especially as a striker who enjoys playing on the shoulder of the last defender.

Upamecano has committed the most fouls for Bayern this season, whilst his opponent, Guirassy, has won the most fouls across the Dortmund squad. 

Upamecano averages 1.54 fouls committed per 90, landing this line in six of his last seven games.

He also finds himself in plenty of duels each game, averaging 10.92 per 90, winning 6.62 of those.

What interests me here is Bayern’s high defensive line, causing Upamecano’s average position to be sitting on the halfway line, which I think could allow Guirassy some freedom today.

As mentioned, Guirassy enjoys playing on the shoulder of the last defender, which I think could cause Upamecano some problems here, especially if Bayern are caught in possession.

He is being brought down an average of 1.62 times per 90, which has resulted in him being priced at 1.071 to be fouled.

I think Upamecano’s stats are far too strong for this price, especially when paired against Guirassy.