💎 Gem Bet: Jhon Lucumi - Over 0.5 Fouls Committed @ 2.00 (Bet365)

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Lucumi has committed three fouls across his 135 minutes of Serie A football so far this season (2.00 per 90). He’s generously priced here to commit a foul in what should be a difficult assignment for Bologna away at AC Milan.

Lucumi was the subject of intense transfer speculation over the summer, mainly from the Premier League with sides like Bournemouth and Sunderland linked to the 27 year old. Bologna faced off against AC Milan three times last season and posted some pretty decent foul counts:

AC Milan 0-1 Bologna (Coppa Italia Final) - 11 fouls
AC Milan 3-1 Bologna (Serie A) - 14 fouls
Bologna 2-1 AC Milan (Serie A) - 13 fouls

Lucumi committed two fouls and was shown a yellow card in the most recent head to head clash between the sides which was that Coppa Italia final. Lucumi contested 10 duels in the match and also made the most tackles of any player on the pitch (4). The front three of AC Milan were fouled six times on that occasion. 

Lucumi was also shown a yellow card in this fixture last season after coming on from the bench after 31 minutes. He didn’t play in Bologna’s 2-1 win over AC Milan last season but both of Bologna’s centre backs committed at least one foul in that game, with Casale committing three.

Lucumi committed 22 fouls across his 29 Serie A starts last season (0.76 per 90). I’m confident to see this average rise when considering Lucumi’s previous foul record against AC Milan and the threat that the home sides’ attacking trio can pose.

There is real value with this selection when backing with Bet365, the exact same pick is priced as low as 1.24 with other major bookmakers.