Dinamo Zagreb’s left-back, Ronaël Pierre-Gabriel, is set to face a daunting challenge at the Emirates on Wednesday night against Arsenal’s dynamic array of attackers.

Priced at 1.67 with Paddy Power, the value here is strikingly bigger than Sky Bet’s shorter odds of 1.30, at the time of writing.

Paddy Power’s odds imply a 59.8% likelihood of Pierre-Gabriel committing at least 1 foul, yet a closer examination suggests the probability aligns more closely with Sky Bet’s implied 76.9%, offering excellent value on Paddy – not to mention we get Super Sub as well.

While Pierre-Gabriel’s season-long average of 0.86 fouls per game appears conservative. His fouling tendency is more pronounced in high-pressure situations, as evidenced by his record of at least 1 foul in his last 4 full 90s.

In the CL, the French defender has committed fouls in 3 of his 4 starts.

The challenge ahead is substantial, as Arsenal’s right-hand side is teeming with potential threats, each capable of testing Pierre-Gabriel’s discipline:

Raheem Sterling: 1.25 fouls won per 90.

Gabriel Martinelli: 0.83 fouls won per 90 and has been fouled in 6 of his last 8 starts.

Leandro Trossard: 1.11 fouls won per 90.

Dinamo Zagreb are yet to play a competitive match this calendar year, which raises concerns about match sharpness and potential rustiness – that could elevate their foul count.