Luke Shaw has committed a foul in each of his last five Premier League appearances, committing multiple fouls in three of these games.

Shaw will face off against Bukayo Saka in one of the key battles that is likely to decide this game, Saka has been fouled in four of his last five Premier League appearances. Saka is one of the best 1v1 dribblers in Europe and has drawn 37 fouls across just 16 starts in the Premier League this season (2.28 per 90).

I think it’s also worth exploring higher lines for Shaw here, given how strong Saka is when it comes to winning fouls. Shaw is priced at 2.75 to commit 2+ fouls in this clash, which also represents value, as that line is as short as 1.67 with other major bookmakers. He is quite short for a card, with that option also priced at 2.75, so I’d recommend opting for the 2+ fouls option, as cards can be a lottery at times.

There is excellent value with this selection when backing with bet365, the exact same pick is priced as short as 1.13 with other major bookmakers - which is a more accurate price when factoring in Shaw’s recent foul record and his potential opponent on Sunday.