In this article…
Arsenal v Sevilla
📅
Kick Off: Wednesday 8th November at 20:00
🏆
Competition: Champions League
📺
Watch Live: TNT Sports 2
With Arsenal’s Premier League unbeaten run a thing of the past, the Emirates hosts Champions League action with the visit of Sevilla. Arsenal will be aiming to take a huge step towards knockout stage qualification with another win over the Europa League holders, with qualification in the bag if results go their way elsewhere in Group F. Since their last meeting with the North Londoners, two weeks ago, Sevilla are unbeaten in three domestic games, all of which were played away from home – form that could potentially save a result here.
Arsenal are coming off the back of a narrow 1-0 defeat at Newcastle in the Premier League on Sunday, after more VAR controversy sparked drama and distaste amongst fans and especially Mikel Arteta. However, Arteta will be demanding a response from his side in this Champions League game to remedy some of the hurt that’s lingering. It was a cagey affair last time out in Andalusia, with Arsenal’s quality shining through to prove the difference but with tempers high after the weekend, this could ignite fire in the Gunners.
Sevilla remain without a Champions League win this season and sit third in Group F ahead of PSV Eindhoven on goal difference. This is unlikely to be branded as a must-win game for Los Palanganas as Arsenal were huge favourites going into the group stage, but just a point here could set them up for a solid shot at qualification, with PSV Eindhoven and RC Lens to beat in their last two games. A month after his appointment, Diego Alonso is without a win yet in Spain so he’ll certainly be searching for a result here to inspire some confidence from the club.
This feature will break down our Arsenal v Sevilla Cheat Sheet, highlighting any key markets where we see great value to help craft your bet builders – short and long odds! Let’s jump right into the breakdown.
Arsenal v Sevilla Cheat Sheet
This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.
You can find Arsenal v Sevilla stats on my Bet Builder stats tool, along with official lineups one hour before kick-off.
Now, for my breakdown and preview with recommended bets…
🔴 Arsenal Stats: A tricky week for the Gunners
Disgraced, sick and embarrassed – just some of the words Mikel Arteta used in a fiery post-match press conference after his side’s defeat at the weekend which saw Arsenal slip to fourth in the Premier League. Perhaps the only joy of this week for Arsenal fans was watching Spurs’ extremely entertaining 4-1 defeat to Chelsea, rubbing off their unbeaten status and knocking them off the top spot – a slight remedy for the drama they witnessed on Saturday evening.
Arsenal have faced two consecutive defeats after their exit from the Carabao Cup in a 3-1 loss at West Ham, so undoubtedly, Arteta will be demanding a performance that will send a message to all the Arsenal fans, and other clubs, that this was just a short blip ahead of another potential title charge and perhaps hopes of going deep into the Champions League competition.
The Gunners have been superb defensively this season, with the second-best defensive record in the Premier League, conceding only nine goals. Gabriel and William Saliba have formed a tremendous partnership that will prove difficult for their Spanish opponents to break through with goals seeming to elude them in recent fixtures. Looking for their second Champions League clean sheet of the season, Arsenal will be looking to solidify their backline after conceding four goals in their last two games.
⚪ Sevilla Stats: Stalemate central for the Spaniards
Sevilla have also been caught up in the tales of VAR in their 1-1 draw with Celta Vigo at the weekend. However, this saw Diego Alonso’s side on the nicer end of a decision as their opponents saw a 96th-minute penalty overruled by VAR after several minutes of reviewing time – a rather controversial decision once again. Celta Vigo striker Iago Aspas responded by grabbing the VAR screen and throwing it to the ground, a drama-filled Saturday night for Sevilla.
While Sevilla haven’t been scoring goals for fun this season, they’ve certainly proved themselves as a stubborn unit that can absorb long periods of pressure and come out with results. They have lost just one of their last seven matches in all competitions, which came against Arsenal a few weeks ago, but that comes with only one win from the Copa del Rey first round. This trend was seen in the return fixture where moments of genius from Gabriel Jesus undid all of their defensive efforts – a solid performance nonetheless.
Stalemates have been a speciality of Sevilla in Champions League away games, recording six draws and two losses from their last eight games on the road. There’s seemingly a draw tendency domestically and in Europe, but there could be room to change that trend.
🎯 Arsenal offensive stats: Oh for the love of corners
If there is any consistent attacking trend right now for Arsenal, it’s corners. They are absolutely loving corners this season, having taken a whopping 93 corners in the Premier League, averaging 8.45 corners per game.
From these they have scored six goals from set pieces, the most in the Premier League, and have brought this attacking style to their European games too, registering 4, 5, and 5 corners in their last three Champions League fixtures. Games at the Emirates are seeing an average of 11.3 corners with Arsenal, unsurprisingly, winning every corner match bet. In fact, they are yet to lose a corner match bet this season, only drawing once in their 4-0 win over Bournemouth.
This seems like a great market to target with Sevilla conceding an average of 4.73 corners in Spain and conceding 19 corners in three Champions League encounters. An Arsenal corner match bet is priced at a very short 1.13 so we would suggest Arsenal to take at least 6 corners at 1.45.
For player markets, Bukayo Saka selections look like they have great value in this fixture, perhaps due to his slight struggles with form recently. Saka has failed to really find his rhythm since withdrawing from the England international squad in October. However, he has still managed two assists in his last three Premier League matches and we know how pivotal he is to this Arsenal attack.
Saka has come up with 4 goals and 3 assists in the league this season, and a goal against PSV Eindhoven on matchday one of the Champions League, and what a time to start finding your feet again in front of a home crowd in Europe – Saka to score or assist is priced at 1.73. His xG+A per 90 average is 0.69, the third-best in this Arsenal side, and he is averaging 1.77 efforts at goal a game. We expect Arsenal to really go at Sevilla and dominate for extended spells, Saka will no doubt be a part of that.
Prediction: Over 5.5 Arsenal corners @ 1.45
Prediction: Bukayo Saka to score or assist @ 1.73
🎯 Sevilla offensive stats: Who can step up at the Emirates?
Once again, Youssef En-Nesyri is proving himself as the main man at Sevilla, grabbing four goals in La Liga, including an 84th-minute equaliser in their dramatic draw v Celta Vigo at the weekend, and one goal in the Champions League this season. He’s certainly proving to be their biggest goal threat and could cause trouble for the hosts on Tuesday night.
The Moroccan averages an impressive 2.88 shots at goal per 90, with 50% of those hitting the target which is the best percentage in the Sevilla side. Diego Alonso’s side will definitely have some struggles breaking down this Arsenal backline, especially when playing at the Emirates. Still, they registered 11 shots with two on target in the reverse fixture, and it’s very likely that the Moroccan will be involved here.
En-Nesyri is priced at 1.57 to have one or more shots on target on Tuesday, and a safer angle is for him to have two shots at 1.14.
Another threat to the Arsenal goal will be Lucas Ocampos, the Argentine winger who has formed a great attacking bond with En-Nesyri this season. Ocampos boasts the most attempts at goal for Sevilla this season with 27, but his finishing has escaped him having only scored one goal in Spain this season. He did get on the scoresheet in Sevilla’s 1-1 draw to Lens on matchday one of the Champions League campaign, but the value lies in the shots department.
Averaging an impressive 3.03 shots per 90, Ocampos is priced at 1.50 to have two shots at goal on Tuesday which is good value. Of these efforts, only 0.90 per 90 hit the target so a price of 2.20 for the Argentine to have a shot on target against Arsenal could be a decent selection to give a big boost to the odds of your bet builder.
Prediction: Youssef En-Nesyri to have 1+ shot on target @ 1.57
Prediction: Lucas Ocampos to have 2+ shots @ 1.50
🛑 Arsenal defensive stats: A tussle in store for Saka
The Arsenal defence has been very strong this season and extremely disciplined in their work. Yellow cards have been a slight rarity for the Gunners this season but there have definitely been some foulers in the side, it’s just a matter of which one is likely to start.
Gabriel Jesus, Kai Havertz, Eddie Nketiah and Bukayo Saka have already registered 11+ fouls this season and all average at least 1 foul per 90 minutes. Jesus is rumoured to be absent from the starting XI through injury.
Bukayo Saka has fouled 13 times this season, Arsenal’s joint second-highest fouler, averaging 1.35 fouls per 90 minutes. We have seen Saka’s patience run thin these last few weeks with full backs frustrating him during his below-par form, and coming up against Marcos Acuna on Tuesday will be no different.
Acuna has drawn in 1.74 fouls per 90 this season, and Saka may well oblige in the capital. Saka is priced at 1.30 to make one foul and a tempting 2.50 to commit two fouls. Sevilla have drawn an average of 13.4 fouls per 90 this season, perhaps Saka will be sucked in on Wednesday.
Prediction: Bukayo Saka to commit 1+ foul @ 1.30
Prediction: Bukayo Saka to commit 2+ fouls @ 2.50
🛑 Sevilla defensive stats: The referee could have his hands full (of cards)
If there’s one thing this Sevilla side haven’t lacked this season, it’s bookings. The Spanish side have picked up an enormous 38 bookings in La Liga which is spread amongst 18 offenders in the squad. A very impressive, for bettors, 3.45 bookings per match – not a convincing disciplinary record.
The bookings have seemingly leaked into their European encounters this season, picking up seven yellows in three matches and with Arsenal very likely to dominate the possession at the Emirates, the Sevilla players could easily find themselves drawn out of positions and forced to make those tactical and ‘non-tactical’ fouls. The Gunners did in fact out-foul Sevilla in their matchup a few weeks ago, 13-7, but the hosts managed to create a hostile environment and frustrated Arsenal, which could prove a lot more difficult at the Emirates.
There are two angles for this selection. The first is for Sevilla to commit 12 or more fouls on Tuesday which is priced at 1.57. Sevilla have averaged 12.8 fouls per 90 over in La Liga and Arsenal’s possession game is likely to create more issues here. In the Champions League, they have recorded 18, 11 and 7 fouls in their last three games, and with points more important than ever, some players could lose their cool out there.
The second approach would be for Sevilla to receive the most cards at 1.83. Arsenal have shown the best disciplinary record in the Premier League this season, picking up 18 yellows, an average of 1.64 cards per 90 minutes. These figures are less than half of their Spanish opponents and Mikel Arteta will be demanding a cool and composed approach to ensure the job gets done and it’s completed convincingly. The Gunners have picked up three yellows during their Champions League campaign so the odds are definitely of value here.
Prediction: Sevilla to commit 12+ fouls @ 1.57
Prediction: Sevilla to receive the most cards @ 1.83
🎁 Join Paddy Power Today, Bet £10 and Get £50 in Free Football Bet Builders
Sign up to Paddy Power, place a £10 bet on football at odds of 2.00 (evens) or greater, and you will unlock £50 in Free Bets to use on Bet Builders.
New Customer offer. Place a min £10 bet on Football on odds of min 1.5 (1/2), get £50 in Free Bet Builders after the qualifying bet has been settled. Rewards valid for 30 days. SMS verification required. Only deposits via cards will qualify (Apple Pay excluded). T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly.
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
18+ please gamble responsibly.
