💎 Gem Bet: Saka 1+ Foul Committed @ 1.67 (Bet365)

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Saka is usually associated with his ability to win fouls, but he also commits them at a pretty steady rate. Saka committed 15 fouls across his 20 Premier League appearances last season (0.78 per 90) and his personal battle against Patrick Dorgu really stands out here. 

Dorgu is priced at just 1.06 to win a foul in this clash and with Saka being his direct opponent, we should see a fair few fouls exchanged on that side of the pitch. Dorgu offers Manchester United physicality which they often lacked last season, he won 28 fouls across his 12 appearances for Manchester United in the Premier League last season (2.8 per 90). Looking in more detail at these numbers, there was only one game last season in the Premier League in which Dorgu wasn’t hauled down at least once (v Nottingham Forest). He won 2+ fouls in eight of these 12 appearances so there is a chance for Saka to commit more than one foul here. 

Saka may also have to contest duels against Matheus Cunha who is expected to line up as the left sided number 10 here. Cunha won 71 fouls across his 33 appearances in the Premier League for Wolves last season (2.46 fouls won per 90) so there are two players with incredibly strong foul won records down Saka’s side. 

Saka only started one of the three head to head meetings between these sides last season due to injury but that performance offers plenty of promise when looking to back this selection. Saka contested 15 duels in the game, losing more than any other player on the pitch (9) resulting in two fouls committed for the 23 year old. He was up against Malacia on that occasion, and Dorgu should prompt similar numbers from Arsenal’s star player. 

There is real value with this selection when backing with Bet365, the exact same selection is priced as low as 1.22 with other comparable bookmakers.