💎 Gem Bet: Piero Hincapie - Over 0.5 Fouls Committed @ 1.50 (Bet365)

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Piero Hincapie is set to come for just his fourth start in the Premier League for Arsenal with first choice centre back pairing Gabriel and William Saliba expected to be out for this clash.

Hincapie showed how aggressive he can be in Arsenal’s 1-1 draw with Chelsea at Stamford Bridge last week, with the 23 year old committing two fouls and picking up a yellow card. He’s likely to post similar numbers here with Arsenal lining up against the most fouled side in the Premier League this season (13.8 fouls won per game). 

Hincapie’s individual duel against Ollie Watkins really stands out to me here. I regularly back Watkins to win fouls against centre backs that may not be used to facing the profile of Watkins as a striker, with most Premier League strikers offering a more physical and direct challenge.

Watkins’ elusive nature can aid our selection here with the Villa forward winning 17 fouls across his 14 Premier League appearances this season (1.44 per 90). Watkins has been fouled in four of his last five Premier League appearances, offering real promise for Hincapie to commit a foul here as a player who is still adapting to the pace and physicality of the English top flight. 

There is real value with this selection when backing with Bet365, the same pick is priced as low as 1.2 with other major bookmakers.