Aston Villa have lost just two of their last nine games in all competitions and are undefeated at home in their last five picking up four wins. Chelsea are without a win in five away trips in all competitions, losing their last two.

Villa Park is a proven fortress this season with Aston Villa seeing defeat on only three occasions at home this season from 16 outings, picking up 11 wins, and they have scored 2+ goals in five consecutive home matches.

Clear disparity in the class of these two sides wasreflected in their respective performances at the Emirates – Chelsea’s 5-0 crushing and Villa’s tactical 2-0 victory over Arsenal.

Chelsea’s shining star this season and current joint-top goalscorer in the Premier League, scoring in four of his last five league games – amassing 10 goals in that time.

Averages 3.17 shots per 90 and 1.35 on target. 30 shots and 15 on target over his last six league games.

Palmer has hit the target 2+ times in seven of his last nine games across all competitions, including in four of his last five in the Premier League.

Chelsea’s joint-second highest fouled player this season (39), drawing 1.49 fouls per 90 this season. Combined with his 1.65 fouls committed per 90, Caicedo is no stranger to getting involved in heated midfield clashes.

Caicedo has been fouled 2+ times in three of his last five Premier League games, accumulating eight total fouls, which extends out to 10 of his last 16 across all competitions – he was fouled once in two of the exceptions.

Facing up against the likes of Douglas Luiz, John McGinn and Youri Tielemans who commit 1.52, 1.26 and 1.24 fouls per 90 respectively, there should be plenty of fouling potential.

A man in fine form with three goals in his last three Premier League goals bringing his tally up to 19 goals this season – chasing that ever-so-desired golden boot, just one goal behind Cole Palmer and Erling Haaland.

Creating plenty of goalscoring opportunities, averaging 3.13 shots per 90 this season and 1.41 on target. This includes four shots against Arsenal who have been by far the best defensive team in the league this season, and five against Bournemouth at the weekend.

Watkins has hit the target at least once in 15 of his last 19 across all competitions and has hit the target twice in three of his last five.

McGinn is Aston Villa’s most fouled player this season (59) being fouled an average of 2.01 times per 90 in the Premier League.

Has been fouled at least twice in six of his last eight Premier League appearances, totaling 19 fouls drawn, which extends out to 10 of his last 12 across all competitions.

Chelsea are averaging 11.90 fouls committed per 90, making 10+ fouls in six of their eight Premier League matches.

Facing up against a foul-loving Chelsea midfield composed of the three top fouling candidates in the Chelsea team: Conor Gallagher, Moises Caicedo and Enzo Fernandez who commit 2.35, 1.69 and 1.35 fouls per 90 respectively.

Jackson has drawn 1.24 fouls per 90 this season and has been fouled 9 times across his last three games. This includes four against Arsenal despite Jackson only having 33 total touches.

Averaging 3.23 attempted take-ons per 90 this season, the third-highest amongst the regular Chelsea starters.

Plenty of fouling candidates in the Aston Villa side – Douglas Luiz, John McGinn and Diogo Carlos who commit 1.52, 1.26 and 1.12 fouls per 90 respectively.

A large price for Chelsea’s joint-fourth most fouled player (31) – Enzo Fernandez is priced at 1.91 in this market despite drawing just 0.03 more fouls per 90 than Nicolas Jackson and has been fouled only once in his last seven games.