💎 Gem Bet: Neco Williams - Over 0.5 Shots @ 1.72 (Bet365)

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Neco Williams has had a shot in each of his last five Premier League appearances, taking his overall tally to 20 for the season (1.05 per 90). 

He’s been a near ever present for Forest this season, starting all 19 of their matches in the Premier League - and he usually lasts the entire 90 with Williams seeing out the whole game in each of his last five Premier League appearances.

Williams played as a wingback in the most recent head to head meeting between these sides back in April last year. He had three shots in that game, with Forest having 19 overall. I wouldn’t be surprised to see him lineup as a wingback here, with Dyche potentially looking to take advantage of Villa’s high defensive line with runs in behind.

Even if Williams lines up as a conventional fullback here, his shot numbers from right back and left back have been strong. He’s always willing to go toward, as further displayed by his average of 1.29 shots per 90 in the Premier League last season. 

This record includes having three shots against Villa in Forest’s 2-1 win over Unai Emery’s side at the City Ground last term, he lined up at left back on that occasion with Forest having 17 shots in total. 

There is decent value with this selection when backing with Bet365, the exact same angle is priced as low as 1.44 with other major bookmakers.