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Barcelona v Atletico Madrid
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Kick Off: Tuesday 25th February at 20:30
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Competition: Copa del Rey
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Watch Live: Premier Sports 2
Having recorded 11 wins and 2 draws in their 13 games since losing to Atletico at Camp Nou last time out, Hansi Flick’s men will be out for revenge as they host them once more, this time in the Copa del Rey.
That said, Atletico will certainly not be brushed off having remarkably won 20 of their most recent 24 clashes across all competitions.
That said, a slight dip in form has seen them draw two of the last three, although their comfortable 3-0 victory over Valencia should alleviate most concerns.
There will be no better time than now to find a resurgence and beat their rivals, whom they traditionally have struggled against, having lost each of the last 5 before this season.
⭐ Barcelona v Atletico Madrid Best Bets
The last time these two sides met, all three cards shown went to Atletico Madrid—a trend that could well continue here.
Although Atletico aren’t the league’s most aggressive side, their card average of 2.44 per game is notably higher than Barcelona’s 1.92, and implies a lot of value here, particularly at Camp Nou.
Another key factor is how few cards Atletico’s opponents tend to receive. They average just 1.64 per game, the lowest in La Liga by a significant margin. This is in stark contrast with Barcelona’s opponents who pick up an average of 2.68 cards per match.
🟢 Barcelona v Atletico Madrid #WhatOddsPaddy Tip
Barcelona look well-placed to dominate this fixture and given the possible comorbidity between these two selections, there could be a lot of value here.
Barcelona have been in outstanding form, winning 11 of their 13 matches across all competitions since their slip-up to Atletico earlier this season.
While they did lose 2-1 in that clash, the expected goals told a different story, heavily favouring Barcelona at 2.72 to 0.63.
They’ve had the upper hand in this fixture in recent history, winning five straight meetings before this season’s slip-up.
They also hold a clear edge in set-piece dominance. They lead La Liga with an average of 6.28 corners per game which is significantly higher than Atletico’s 4.84, which ranks just 9th in the league in that department.
Their home performances have been particularly promising, registering at least five corners in 14 of 16 matches at Camp Nou.
In the most recent clash between these sides, Barcelona overwhelmed Atletico, winning a remarkable 11 corners to Atletico’s 3.
Given Barcelona’s emphasis on control and superior corner numbers, backing them to win each half and accumulate more corners in both halves seems a sensible choice.
👕 Barcelona v Atletico Madrid Predicted XI

🔍 Barcelona v Atletico Madrid Players to Watch
🔵 Lamine Yamal
Lamine Yamal has been one of Barcelona’s most consistent attacking threats, averaging 1.52 shots on target per 90 minutes – the joint-most of any predicted starter.
His reliability in this market is undeniable, having tested the goalkeeper in 11 of his last 12 matches. The only exception came against Las Palmas, where he nonetheless managed three close-range efforts and was named Man of the Match.
Atletico’s defence, while solid overall, has struggled against elite opposition. Across three meetings with Real Madrid and Barcelona, they’ve conceded 20 shots on target, meanwhile, their Champions League campaign saw them allow an average of 4.5 per game.
🔴 Javi Galan
Javi Galan has been Atletico’s most frequent fouler this season, averaging 2.14 fouls per 90 in the league.
Despite limited game time, he has still managed to commit at least two fouls in three of his last five appearances, with two of those coming in just 45-minute spells. His longest outing in that period was only 63 minutes, yet he still hit the required mark on 3 occasions.
A key factor here is his likely matchup against Lamine Yamal, Barcelona’s most fouled player. The youngster draws 2.16 fouls per 90 minutes across all competitions, and his dribbling ability is bound to put Galan under serious pressure.
🔵 Robert Lewandowski
Lewandowski has been a reliable pick in the fouls-drawn market this season, winning 1.59 fouls per 90 minutes across all competitions.
His consistency is undeniable, having been fouled at least once in each of his last nine games and twice or more in five of those matches.
His record against Atletico Madrid further strengthens the case – he’s drawn at least one foul in all four of his previous meetings with them.
Tuesday’s clash presents another ideal setup, as he’s likely to be marked by Robert Le Normand, one of Atletico’s most frequent offenders. The centre-back has averaged 1.65 fouls per 90 minutes this season.
📂 Barcelona v Atletico Madrid Cheat Sheet

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💻 Barcelona v Atletico Madrid Form and Tactics
In the last few showings of this fixture, we’ve seen Barcelona dominate the ball with Atletico focussing most of their play on the transition.
This worked to great effect last time out as a last-gasp Sorloth winner saw Atletico take all 3 points away from Camp Nou, despite creating just 0.63xG compared to Barcelona’s 2.72.
We might expect something similar to unfold on Tuesday although Atletico will hope to retain a greater defensive solidity compared to last time out.
They boast the best defensive record in the league, having conceded just 16 goals in their 24 games, meanwhile, Barcelona’s attacking record clears the rest of La Liga, averaging over 2.7 goals scored per game.
Tactics-wise, Barcelona are expected to set up in a 4-2-3-1 with Atletico utilising their characteristic 4-4-2.
There are few similarities between how these sides operate, as is best portrayed by the intensity of their presses.
Barcelona’s average PPDA of 7.10 is the lowest of any team in La Liga, meanwhile, Atletico’s average of 15.08 reflects their more passive approach, with only Espanyol displaying less pressing intensity.
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🏁 Barcelona v Atletico Madrid Ref Watch
- Referee – Alejandro Hernandez
Average Cards (Y / R) | 5.45 / 0.27 |
Fouls Given | 27.09 |
Penalties | 0.27 |
📺 How to Watch Barcelona v Atletico Madrid in the Copa del Rey
📅 When is Barcelona v Atletico Madrid ? / Tuesday, 25th February 2025, 20:30
🏟 Where is Barcelona v Atletico Madrid ? / Spotify Camp Nou (Barcelona)
📺 What TV Channel is Barcelona v Atletico Madrid on? / Premier Sports 2
🟨 …And who is the referee for Barcelona v Atletico Madrid? / Alejandro Hernandez 🇪🇸
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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