Manchester City were dominant in the first leg and look unstoppable at the moment, no matter who they face. They have won 10 matches in a row in all competitions and I expect them to start their strongest 11 here to ensure Bayern can’t get any momentum. Manchester City will look to score and kill the game off rather than sitting back and just trying to stop Bayern from scoring.

Bayern Munich have won just 2 of their first 5 matches under Tuchel and the squad doesn’t seem to be in full confidence. Manchester City beat Bayern 1.8-0.9 on xG last match but were by far the better team and they should be good enough to at least get a draw here, if not go on and win.

Haaland continues to be the main man at Manchester City with goalscoring records being broken on almost a weekly basis and this means that Julian Alvarez’s season has gone completely under the radar. Alvarez has 0.7 goals per 90 this season and has averaged 1.29 shots on target per 90. Alvarez may get the chance to start due to City’s big lead but even if he doesn’t start I would expect him to be subbed on very early.

Alvarez had 2 shots with 1 on target in the first leg despite playing just 23 minutes. Alvarez has had a shot on target in 9 of his last 11 starts and in 4 of his last 8 appearances off the bench where he has played at least 10 minutes. Bayern have no choice but to push forward and this will leave space for Manchester City’s attackers, so I expect Alvarez to have at least 1 shot on target here.

Grealish is expected to start at left wing for Manchester City which is bad news for Bayern’s right back. Pavard started at right back in the first leg and really struggled, he committed 4 fouls and the opposition right backs usually have a problem against Grealish. Grealish draws 3.4 fouls per 90 and this means opposition right-backs nearly always commit a foul against him.

Opposition right-backs have committed at least 1 foul in all of the last 8 matches Manchester City have played and averaged 2.13 fouls per 90 over these 8 matches. Pavard has averaged exactly 1 foul per 90 so far this season and he looks a banker to commit at least 1 foul here.

Manchester City average 6.67 corners per 90 in the league while Bayern average 6.39 corners per 90 in the Bundesliga. While Manchester City don’t concede many corners, Bayern Munich concede 3.93 per match even against Bundesliga sides where you’d expect them to dominate. Bayern’s 5 matches under Tuchel have seen an average of 11.6 corners including 17 corners between both teams in their last match against Hoffenheim. In the first leg, Manchester City had 8 corners and Bayern had 5, giving a total of 13 corners. The odds are priced at around evens for over 9.5 corners here, which seems like good value and therefore a good selection.