💎 Gem Bet: Mandela Keita - Over 1.5 Fouls Won @ 1.80 (Bet365)

This gem is best priced with bet365. Sign up here and get £30 in free bets when you back this gem with £10.

Mandela Keita has been one of Parma’s better performers this term in what has been a tough campaign for the relegation-threatened side. He plays in the heart of midfield and has a very strong record when it comes to winning fouls which is the focus of our selection here.

Keita has won 2+ fouls in each of his last five matches in Serie A. He was fouled six times against Juventus last time out, which accounted for just under half of the total fouls that Parma drew from Juventus in that clash. That example shows how Keita’s ability to win fouls still stays strong when facing up against more elite sides.

Keita has been fouled three or more times in each of his last three matches, including drawing four fouls from Atalanta in Parma’s 4-0 defeat to Raffaele Palladino’s side. Overall, Keita has won 38 fouls across his 21 starts in Serie A (1.90 per 90) with this recent spark in fouls won making him an even more convincing option to back to win a few fouls.

He’ll be up against a pretty aggressive Bologna side as well who committed 13 fouls in the initial league meeting between the sides, two of which were sustained by Keita. He drew these fouls despite having fewer touches than any player on the pitch (24), showing how key of an aspect it is in Keita’s game.

Keita’s main opponent here is likely to be Lewis Ferguson who has committed 26 fouls across his 11 starts in Serie A this term, working out to an average of 2.27 fouls committed per 90. 

There is decent value here when backing this angle with Bet365, the exact same selection is priced as low as 1.4 with other major bookmakers.