💎 Gem Bet: Vitinho 1+ Foul Committed @ 1.5 (Bet365)

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Vitinho has committed 14 fouls across his 15 appearances in the Brazilian Serie A this season for Botafogo (1.09 per 90). He usually lines up as a right back for Botafogo and featured in all four of their games at the Club World Cup.

Vitinho committed eight fouls across these fixtures (1.93 per 90) which would indicate that he should be regularly tested in this matchup against Cruziero. Botafogo are quite an aggressive side, something which is a trait of the league as a whole - Davide Ancelotti’s side are averaging 14.4 fouls committed per game in the Brazilian Serie A this season which is a record that has them ranked 8th in the division when it comes to fouls. 

For comparison, Bournemouth averaged 13.8 fouls committed per game in the Premier League last season which was the highest total of any side, showing how games in Serie A tend to produce more fouls. Botafogo committed 14 fouls in the most recent head to head meeting between the sides back in July 2024. 

Vitinho played for Burnley before making the move to Botafogo so we can draw on a larger sample size of data from his time in the Premier League to further strengthen the case for Vitinho to commit a foul here. The 26 year old made 32 appearances for Burnley during the 23/24 season, committing 27 fouls across these fixtures (1.05 per 90).

There is real value when backing this selection with Bet365, the exact same bet is priced at 1.14 on other major bookmakers. It would also be worth looking at Vitinho to commit 2+ fouls in this game, priced at 3.25 on Bet365 with the higher line also representing value seeing as it is 1.83 elsewhere.