💎 Gem Bet: Eli Kroupi - Over 0.5 Fouls Committed @ 1.90 (Bet365)

This gem is best priced with bet365. Sign up here and get £30 in free bets when you back this gem with £10.

Eli Kroupi has committed three fouls across his 254 minutes of football in the Premier League this season (1.06 per 90). 

The Cherries committed more fouls than any other side in the Premier League last season (13.8 per game) and boast the lowest PPDA in the Premier League this term (9.9) which tells us that they press more effectively than any other side in the top flight, Bournemouth also topped this category last season. 

It’s central to the way they play, Andoni encourages his side to win the ball as high up the pitch as possible and then turn that into a shooting opportunity - Bournemouth have seen 83 of their high turnovers in the Premier League result in shots, the second highest tally in the top flight behind Brighton (101).

If we look at the other Bournemouth players operating in the final third, they all boast foul records which reflect this aggressive pressing approach:

Antoine Semenyo - 2.18 fouls committed p/90
Marcus Tavernier - 1.36 fouls committed p/90
David Brooks - 1.14 fouls committed p/90

(25/26 PL Stats)

We can anticipate Kroupi’s numbers coming in line with the other Bournemouth forwards as he plays more games, and is embedded into the structure that Iraola wants to play. Evanilson led the line for Bournemouth last season and averaged 1.43 fouls committed per 90 across his 31 appearances in the Premier League.

There is real value with this selection when backing with Bet365, the exact same pick is priced as low as 1.4 elsewhere, which is a more accurate pricing when considering the context around Kroupi’s moderate foul numbers so far this term.