💎 Gem Bet: Nordi Mukiele - Over 0.5 Fouls Committed @ 1.53 (Bet365)

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Nordi Mukiele has been an underrated figure in Sunderland’s strong performances this season and has been filling in at centre back for the last few weeks. He may move back out to right back here with Dan Ballard returning to fitness, but either role is likely to see him be in with a strong chance of committing a foul. 

Mukiele has committed a foul in four of his last five Premier League matches and has committed 18 fouls across his 18 Premier League appearances in total this campaign (1.00 per 90). Mukiele is also averaging 2.56 tackles per 90 in the Premier League this season which highlights how often he engages with the opposition. 

If Mukiele does line up at right back here, he would be up against Kevin Schade who is very quick and strong when it comes to winning fouls. Schade has drawn 26 fouls across his 18 Premier League appearances this term (1.50 per 90) and has been fouled in four of his last five matches, drawing multiple fouls in three of these games. Schade is priced at 1.25 to win a foul here, making Mukiele’s price a more attractive one in this matchup. 

Should Mukiele continue at centre back then he would face up against an inform Igor Thiago who netted a hat trick against Everton last time out and has won 12 fouls across his 19 starts in the Premier League (0.65 per 90). Thiago’s record isn’t as convincing as Schade’s, but he’s also priced a lot lower to draw a foul here (1.28) compared to the price we’re getting for Mukiele.

There is decent value with this selection when backing with Bet365, the exact same angle is priced as low as 1.2 elsewhere - which is a price that is more in line with what is available for Thiago or Schade to be fouled.