💎 Gem Bet: Collins 1+ Foul Committed @ 1.80 (Bet365)

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Nathan Collins committed a foul and was shown a yellow card in Brentford’s opening game defeat to Nottingham Forest on Sunday. Brentford struggled as a side to deal with the direct nature of Forest with the Bees committing 15 fouls overall - well above their average of 8.40 fouls committed per game in the Premier league last season. 

Collins will be up against Ollie Watkins here who is one of the most mobile strikers in the league and always a good forward to back when it comes to winning fouls. He caused Burn and Schar quite a few problems in Villa’s opening game of the season with Newcastle’s centre back duo committing three fouls between them. 

Collins has struggled against Watkins before, he was shown a yellow card in both meetings against Aston Villa last season, committing two fouls at Villa Park and one at the Gtech Community Stadium with Watkins being hauled down on three occasions across these two fixtures. Watkins also scored in both of these games so he really isn’t a favourable opponent for Collins. 

Collins averaged 0.76 fouls committed per 90 in the Premier League last season but his individual performances against Watkins would suggest that the Villa striker is not his ideal opponent to face, and he struggles in a similar manner to Burn does against a forward with the profile of Watkins. We backed Burn to commit a foul against Watkins for one of our gem bets last week in a very similar set of circumstances. 

There is real value when backing this selection with Bet365, the same pick is priced as low as 1.3 with other comparable bookmakers.