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Burnley v Man United

This weekend sees Man Utd look to turn their fortunes around as they travel to Turf Moor to face their old foe Vincent Kompany and Burnley who are also in desperate need of a Premier League victory.

Both sides are in a dire spell and could do with getting some points on the board for different reasons. Burnley are looking to evade relegation this season whilst Man Utd are looking for a top-four finish, or even the Premier League title, although based on their last few results, it looks increasingly unlikely. 

Man United’s last three results in all competitions make for grim reading: 

• 3-1 defeat v Arsenal
• 3-1 defeat v Brighton 
• 4-3 defeat v Bayern Munich 

It’s the first time in 45 years that United have conceded 3+ goals in three consecutive matches. Alarm bells will certainly be ringing for Erik ten Hag and his Man Utd players but a few of his squad could potentially return from injury, and this will be a big boost for them. 

Read on for a breakdown of some of the best-looking stats ahead of the Saturday night football. 

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Burnley v Man Utd Cheat Sheet

Here’s our Burnley v Man Utd Cheat Sheet based on the predicted lineups/available players for the game. These stats directly correlate with the markets that can be found on the Bet Builder tab at Paddy Power. 

In a nutshell, this Cheat Sheet is your go-to source for all the essential stats any punter could dream of. So, gear up, and let the numbers guide your bet builder selections.

Next, we’ll be breaking down some of the key stats where we think the value lies. If you’re having a bet, consider signing up for Paddy Power. If you use the link below and bet £10 then you will get £50 in Free Bets. This will have you nice and prepared for all of the following week’s bets. 

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Without further ado, let’s get stuck into the breakdown.

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Burnley under pressure

Vincent Kompany and Burnley were one of, if not the, most exciting team to watch in the Championship last season. They played a high-intensity style of football, very high up the pitch. A stark contrast to how Burnley looked under former gaffer Sean Dyche. 

Many suspected that this way of playing would cause them issues in the Premier League as the quality of opposition improves dramatically from the Championship to the English top flight. This has proven true so far as Burnley have managed to pick up just one point from their opening four matches:

• 3-0 defeat v Man City
• 3-1 defeat v Aston Villa 
• 5-2 defeat v Spurs
• 1-1 draw v Nottingham Forest

A draw on the board last time out was a positive result to take, but the main takeaway was Lyle Foster’s silly red card in stoppage time. He will be unavailable for the next three matches which is a big blow for the Clarets.

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Man United need three points

Man Utd have also suffered a poor start to their Premier League campaign. There have been ongoing issues off the pitch with the likes of Antony and Jadon Sancho unavailable due to circumstances away from the field. This combined with their lengthy injury list has left United a bit shorthanded. 

The troubling thing for United this season has been their defence. They had one of the most solid backlines last season as David de Gea won the Golden Glove and it was scoring goals that turned out to be the issue for the club. This season they have scored in every match bar one but kept just a single clean sheet from five matches. They have conceded 10 already this season in the league. 

There were positives to take from their 4-3 defeat to Bayern in midweek but the alarm bells will truly begin to ring if they fail to get three points against newly promoted Burnley.

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🎯Burnley offensive stats: Amdouni to lead the line?

As mentioned previously, Burnley will be without striker Lyle Foster for the next three matches after he was shown a straight red in injury time against Forest for violent conduct. This allows Zeki Amdouni or Jay Rodriguez to fill the void up top for Burnley. 

Amdouni has similar stats to the suspended Foster, he has racked up seven shots so far, three of which have been on target for an average of 1.03 shots on target per 90. Set plays will also likely be key for Burnley. Dara O’Shea has been known to put himself about for his national team. Perhaps he’ll get the nod at centre-back for his aerial prowess alone. 

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🎯 Man United offensive stats: New boy Hojlund is off the mark

Man Utd struggled for goals hugely outside of Marcus Rashford last season. This year, the acquisition of striker Rasmus Hojlund will certainly help. He has looked a threat in both of his Premier League appearances so far and even had the ball in the back of the net against Brighton before VAR intervened. 

That's miles in. Rashford kept it in and Hojlund robbed by VAR pic.twitter.com/rDbNbcjlzx

— H ⚽🔭☠️ (@OrangeMentosSzn) September 16, 2023

A goal at the Allianz Arena for the striker will have boosted his confidence even further. If not Hojlund then we can look at Marcus Rashford who has started the season strongly in terms of the volume of shots he’s taken. He’s had 23 shots so far this season in the league for an average of 4.69 a game. Another one to keep an eye on is Bruno Fernandes, the Portuguese international loves to shoot and he’s likely to take penalties and even freekicks.

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🛑 Burnley defensive stats: Cullen to get stuck in

Josh Cullen has committed the joint most fouls of any Burnley player this season, averaging 1.75 fouls per 90. The other player with similar stats is Lyle Foster whose antics earned him a red card and a three-match ban. Sander Berge is another one who loves a foul in the midfield. The duo will potentially face Bruno Fernandes should he start in the middle. He’s been fouled four times this season. 

Another to look out for is Ameen Al-Dakhil, he has committed three fouls this season but he’ll be facing Rashford/Garnacho and Sergio Reguilon on the left flank. Reguilon in particular loves to get forward and was fouled three times in his United debut against Brighton. Ameen Al-Dakhil is priced at 3.0 for two fouls. 

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🛑 Man United defensive stats: Casemiro the usual suspect

Casemiro was United’s biggest culprit for fouls last season, the Brazilian midfielder committed 48 for an average of 2.03 per 90. The former Madrid man’s legs are slowing down as he leads the ranks for dribbled past stats this season. During fast breaks, he will have plenty of opportunities to commit fouls. 

New signing Sofyan Amrabat could be set to feature for United after he returned to full training after a back injury. The Moroccan international committed 54 fouls for Fiorentina in the Serie A alone last season. If he gets the nod to start, he’s one to think about. If he comes off the bench, his in-play markets could also be worth keeping tabs on.  

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