Burnley are flying and are scoring plenty of goals, averaging 2.14 goals scored per game at home and no team has shut them out at Turf Moor this season. The data suggests that this is fair as they have had at least one expected goal for in all but two of their home games this season – having 0.75xGF in the other two. They have kept a clean sheet in 43% of their home games and in three of their last four but have not been tested enough there. Of those clean sheets, Blackburn managed just 0.04 xG and Birmingham just 0.12.

Whilst this is a testament to the Burnley defence, West Brom and Carlos Corberan will not allow them to have it all their own way and will try and attack Vincent Kompany’s side. The Clarets were a little fortunate not to concede here last week as they conceded 0.85 expected goals to the Sky Blues and conceded 2.34 in their two games prior to that against Swansea and Stoke – two sides that are inferior to West Brom right now.

West Brom are scoring more goals now and have managed to score in all but one of their away games under Corberan so far. Their last three games on the road in all competitions have seen them score eight goals, including three in each of their last two. The data shows that this is not an anomaly. They have had at least one expected goal for in eight of the 11 league games Corberan has taken charge of, including at least 1.70 xGF in each of their last four Championship fixtures.

Defensively, Corberan has made them rock solid and they do not concede too many. However, their last game against Luton saw them concede two inside ten minutes and before that they conceded three at non-league Chesterfield. They have improved significantly at the back, but Burnley will be full of confidence and will be looking to get at West Brom early. The reverse fixture saw a very late Brandon Thomas-Asante equaliser meaning that this selection landed.

Burnley have been scoring plenty in recent games and have piled pressure on their opponents. Since the break they have had 78 shots in eight games, 32 of which have been on target. They have played three home games and have had at least four in each, having five last time out here against Coventry. They have scored the most goals this season and average 4.6 shots on target per game. They are behind only Sheffield United in terms of big chances created with their 41 up to this point.

West Brom won’t make it easy for their opponents though. They’ll be looking to attack but have looked more exposed at the back in recent weeks than they did at the start of Corberan’s tenure. They have played five away games since the start of December and have conceded 58 shots, 24 of which on target. This selection has landed in each of their last two on the road (at Luton and Chesterfield) and in three of their last five. Burnley will be a sterner test for the Baggies and they should manage to create chances. Burnley had ten shots, three of which were on target, in the first game between these two this season.

Jed Wallace is West Brom’s second top scorer this season with four goals, only behind Brandon Thomas-Asante’s five. Of every player to play more than 400 minutes this season, he has taken the second most shots per 90, averaging 2.20 per game. The winger has had 55 shots, with 23 of those on target and since the break he has had 14 shots in seven league starts. This selection has landed in 18 of his 27 league starts this season and had three shots at Luton last time out. The Englishman will be playing as a right winger here. Since the break, Burnley have faced four teams that have played with wingers, and they have conceded at least one shot to three of those four teams’ right wingers. At the Hawthorns against Burnley this season, Wallace had five shots with three of those hitting the target.