💎 Gem Bet: Arda Guler - Over 1.5 Shots @ 1.66 (Bet365)

This gem is best priced with bet365. Sign up here and get £30 in free bets when you back this gem with £10.

This is such a generous price for Guler to have 2+ shots and I doubt you’ll be able to get it again this season. Guler is usually priced around 1.3-1.4 for 2+ shots in LaLiga games, this price is probably more generous due to Real Madrid’s recent poor form and his recent hit rate - Guler has had 2+ shots in two of his last five appearances in LaLiga, but has had at least one shot in all of these games.

Over the course of the season, Guler has taken 42 shots across his 21 starts in LaLiga - working out to an average of 2.25 shots per 90. This shot volume has seen Guler score three goals in LaLiga, and he has become a favourite of Arbeloa with Guler starting each of the last 10 games for Real Madrid across all competitions - his best ever run in the side. 

Guler has posted a similar shot volume in the Champions League this season, taking 19 shots across his nine starts in the competition (2.36 per 90). It’s important that Guler makes the most of his current run in the side as Jude Bellingham and others returning to fitness will make it more difficult for Guler to stake a claim for a consistent role in the Real Madrid side.

Real Madrid had 23 shots in their 2-0 defeat to Celta Vigo at home earlier in the season, with Guler playing 74 minutes in that game and having four attempts at goal - two of which managed to find the target. Madrid’s loss to Getafe last time out makes this an important game for Los Blancos, who are now four points behind Barcelona in the race for the LaLiga title.

There is excellent value with this angle when backing with Bet365, the exact same selection is priced as low as 1.14 with other major bookmakers.