Although Tavares plays as a defender, he has emerged as a central figure in Lazio’s forward play this season, with an impressive seven assists — matched only by Bukayo Saka among players in Europe’s top leagues.

Tavares averages 1.7 shots per game, ranking third in total shots for Lazio, just behind forwards Castellanos and Zaccagni. His active role in Lazio’s attack makes him a likely candidate to take multiple shots, especially against a Como defence that has struggled, allowing an average of 1.78 goals per game.

Valentin Castellanos has been a reliable threat in front of goal for Lazio, currently tied as the team’s top scorer. He averages 3.16 shots per 90 minutes, with 1.65 of those on target, translating to roughly 1.5 shots on target per game.

Up against Como’s inconsistent defence — which concedes an average of 1.78 goals per match — Castellanos should find plenty of opportunities to test the goalkeeper.

Boulaye Dia has averaged one foul per game in Serie A this season, with a higher rate of 1.6 fouls per 90 minutes. While he’s not always guaranteed full minutes, Dia has started seven of his eight appearances, averaging 64 minutes per game.

Even with limited game time, he’s consistently reached an average of one foul per match, showcasing the value in this bet. Given his style and the odds this pick looks promising despite the slight uncertainty around his minutes.

Alberto Moreno has been a defensive staple for Como, he is one of just three players to start every game and has played virtually every minute this season averaging 1.04 fouls per 90.

His defensive assertiveness will likely be tested this week as he faces the agile Gustav Isaksen, whose speed and footwork draw an average of 1.1 fouls per game. Given Moreno’s steady involvement and the difficult task of containing Isaksen, there is solid value for Moreno to record at least one foul.

Como’s defence has struggled to hold back opponents this season, conceding an average of 1.78 goals per game, making them one of Serie A’s most porous defensive units. However, they have been productive at home, averaging two goals per game at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, showing a potential to contribute to the scoreline.

Meanwhile, Lazio bring impressive offensive form, averaging 1.89 goals per match — the fourth-highest scoring rate in the league. Although they score slightly less in away games, averaging 1.25 goals per game, this is partly due to tough fixtures against teams with strong defences like Juventus and Fiorentina.

Despite these challenges, Lazio’s away matches still feature an average of three total goals, emphasizing their tendency to play in high-scoring matches, no matter the venue. Notably, eight of their last nine matches in Serie A have had three or more goals.

Playing nearly every minute for Lazio this season with an average of 84 minutes per game, Zaccagni has been heavily involved in their attack. His 1.9 shots per game rank him second-highest for Lazio in attempts, making him one of their most active shooters after Castellanos.

Given his role and steady shot count, Zaccagni is well-positioned to register multiple shots against Como’s defence, which has struggled to keep attackers at bay.

Gabriel Strefezza is one of the few Como players who has started every game this season, and he has averaged 1.8 fouls per match.

With guaranteed minutes on the pitch, he’s likely to be involved in defensive actions throughout the game. Crucially, he will be up against the tricky Nuno Tavares, who draws an average of 2.3 fouls per game

Alberto Dossena commits an average of 1.05 fouls per 90 minutes, he also plays almost all of every game (averaging 86 minutes) providing him with a good chance to accumulate fouls during the match.

He will be up against Mattia Castellanos and Mattia Zaccagni, who draw an average of 1.1 and 2.8 fouls per game, respectively. This matchup against two players very likely to draw fouls enhances the likelihood that Dossena will sin.