Andy’s Bet Club

💎 Gem Bet: Cole Palmer - Over 2.5 Shots @ 1.90 (bet365)

bet365 - 1.90
Sky Bet - 1.40
Paddy Power - 1.33
Betfair - 1.33

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  • England v Uruguay
  • International Friendly
  • 19:45
1 Selection @ 1.90

Cole Palmer - Over 2.5 Shots

Friendlies can sometimes be quite difficult to predict, given the rotation and different styles that managers like to try out, but I think this is a good bit of value ahead of England’s clash with Uruguay.

This final camp is massive for quite a few England players who are looking to secure their spot on the plane for the summer, and Palmer has a lot of work to do to show that he can be a good option in a crowded part of the pitch for England. 

Palmer is battling alongside Eze, Rogers, Foden and Bellingham for a spot on the plane, and it’s fair to assume that at least one of these names will miss out - making this camp Palmer’s last real chance to make an impression on Tuchel.

This motivation can help him get over the shot line we require here. Palmer isn’t afraid to let fly, with an average of 2.84 shots per 90 in the Premier League this term. He averaged 3.55 shots per 90 in the Premier League last term, and 3.74 shots per 90 in his breakout season for Chelsea - so this is clearly a very strong part of his game.

I’m particularly drawn to this price because of bet365's Sub On Play On, there’s always the jeopardy of Palmer being replaced as this is a friendly - but Sub On Play On keeps this bet alive in that case, with England having a variety of attacking options that could replace Palmer. 

This same angle is priced as low as 1.33 with Paddy Power and Betfair - notably without Sub On Play On - making the price of 1.90 we’re getting here an appealing one.

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