💎 Gem Bet: James Tarkowski - Over 0.5 Fouls Won @ 2.00 (Bet365)

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James Tarkowski has been fouled in three of his last five Premier League appearances, and has a favourable duel here with the centre back facing up against Igor Thiago.

Thiago is a very aggressive player and has committed 32 fouls across his 18 Premier League starts this season (1.82 per 90). The Brentford striker has committed a foul in four of his last five Premier League appearances, committing multiple fouls in three of these games.

Thiago is priced at 1.16 to commit a foul here, so getting his direct opponent to be fouled at 2.00 is a very appealing price. Thiago is priced at 1.80 for 2+ fouls here, so it’s likely that he sins a few times in this contest which increases the chances of Tarkowski being hauled to the ground. 

As well as a decent record when it comes to winning fouls across recent matches, Tarkowski has won 12 fouls across his 19 Premier League appearances (0.63 per 90) which is a decent record for a centre back. Brentford really struggle on the road with just two wins from their seven away matches - so we can expect Everton to control the game in periods and Thiago to chase down lost causes against Tarkowski.

Tarkowski may also brush shoulders with Kevin Schade, who is just as promising for fouls with 27 committed across his 18 Premier League appearances (1.62 per 90). 

There is decent value with this selection when backing with Bet365, the exact same angle is priced as low as 1.4 elsewhere.