💎 Gem Bet: Declan Rice - Over 0.5 Fouls Committed @ 1.72 (Bet365)

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Declan Rice has committed a foul in four of his last five Premier League appearances for Arsenal, and has an intriguing battle against Elliot Anderson here which can see the Arsenal midfielder extend this promising recent foul committed record. The addition of Martin Zubimendi to this Arsenal side has freed up Declan Rice to be more involved in the final third, though he does still get involved in the defensive side of the game with 15 fouls committed across his 19 starts in the Premier League (0.78 per 90). 

Rice is also averaging 1.85 tackles per 90 and 5.30 recoveries per 90, so he’s still heavily involved in Arsenal’s effective work off the ball even if he has been pushed into a slightly more advanced role this term. Rice is set for a difficult battle here against Elliot Anderson who is one of the best players in the Premier League when it comes to winning fouls. Anderson has won 48 fouls across his 21 appearances in the Premier League this term (2.29 per 90) - more than any other player in the Forest squad. 

Anderson also sees a lot of the ball for Forest, he’s having more touches than any other player in the squad (92.4 per 90) and also completing a healthy amount of passes per game (58.6 per 90), so we can expect him to be on the ball quite regularly for Forest here. Anderson was fouled three times in the most recent head to head clash between the sides, Rice didn’t start in that game but should be in the starting eleven here. Anderson is priced as low as 1.18 to win a foul here - and is still under evens to win 2+ fouls (1.83), suggesting that he will give Rice a few opportunities to commit the foul we need here. 

There is strong value with this selection when backing with Bet365, the same angle is priced as low as 1.44 with other major bookmakers.