💎 Gem Bet: Phil Foden - Over 1.5 Shots @ 1.50 (Bet365)

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Foden has had 2+ shots in each of his last five Premier League appearances, managing 3+ shots in three of these matches. He’s easily City’s biggest goal threat aside from Erling Haaland and should be afforded opportunities to have at least two shots here with Forest expected to sit quite deep.

City are expected to have around 15-16 shots here according to the prices set by the bookmakers, and we can expect Foden to be involved when City flood forward. Foden has had 34 shots across his 15 Premier League appearances this season (2.49 per 90) - adding further promise to this angle, alongside his recent record.

Foden’s willingness to shoot from range could be crucial to City cracking open the Forest defence here with Sean Dyche almost guaranteed to set up his side in a low block and look for opportunities in transition. 13 of Foden’s 34 attempts in the Premier League this season have come from outside of the box (38%), with two of Foden’s seven goals being from distance.

Foden only had one shot in this fixture last season, but this selection still would have landed via Sub On Play On as De Bruyne came on for Foden in that clash and had two shots.

There is decent value when backing this selection with Bet365, the exact same selection is priced as low as 1.2 with other comparable bookmakers. I’d also consider higher lines for Foden, 3+ shots still represents decent value at 2.37, with that as low as 1.8 elsewhere.