Arsenal have the 4th most shots on target per 90 of any team in the league while Fulham allow the 3rd most shots on target per 90. Fulham’s full backs push forward a lot, particularly Robinson at left back, therefore Fulham give away a lot of chances to opposition right wingers. Against Fulham, Mbeumo had a shot on target for Brentford, March had one for Brighton and last time the teams played, Saka had a shot on target. Bukayo Saka averages 0.76 shots on target per 90 and has had at least 1 shot on target in 5 of his last 7 matches. Arsenal have to push on to win every match and so Saka will see plenty of the ball in attacking positions, he should be able to have a shot on target in this match.

On the other side of the pitch, Arsenal will have Martinelli with Nketiah likely fit enough to start up front. Just like Robinson at left back, Kenny Tete gets forward on the right to deliver balls into the box for Mitrovic. This leaves space for Martinelli when Arsenal win possession back. The last time these two played each other Martinelli had 7 shots with 2 on target and he will be a key player again here. Arsenal have scored a lot of goals recently, they have 14 goals in their last 5 matches and seem to be attacking more as opposition teams attempt to just sit back against them. As a result of this Martinelli is having plenty of shots on target, he has a shot on target in 5 of his last 7 matches, only failing to do so against Manchester City and Bournemouth, where he had 4 shots. Both wingers should have plenty of shooting opportunities so I expect a Martinelli shot on target.

With Fulham’s attacking full backs they leave a lot of space out wide, meaning opposition wingers and full backs see a lot of the ball and can win a lot of corners. Arsenal average 6.15 corners per 90 while Fulham concede 5.42 corners per 90. Against possession heavy teams, Fulham give up a lot of corners, against Chelsea they conceded 6 and 7 corners, against Newcastle it was 10 and against Manchester City it was 9. In the reverse fixture, Arsenal won 9 corners in a match they only won 2-1. Arsenal have had at least 5 corners in 8 of their last 10 matches, only failing to do so against Manchester City, I expect them to comfortably have at least 4.5 corners in this match.

Against possession based teams, Fulham are very defensive and allow the opposition a lot of the ball. They have had less than 40% possession against Newcastle, Chelsea, Manchester City and Brighton and in the last match against Arsenal they had just 29% possession. In every single one of these matches the opposition centre backs had more than 70 passes. Ake and Akanji had 96 and 93 passes respectively against Fulham, Badiashile and Silva had 112 and 109 and Dunk and Webster had 98 and 83 each. When the two played last time, Saliba attempted 98 passes and he should have the opportunity to have plenty of passes again here.