Gem Bet: Fulham v Brentford
Harry Nye
Harry is a Christchurch-based football enthusiast whose love for sport and numbers naturally led him into the world of sports betting. While studying Mathematics at university, Harry began combining his analytical mindset with his passion for football. Harry focuses predominantly on football, with a particular emphasis on the Bundesliga this season, though as a Liverpool supporter (with a soft spot for QPR thanks to his dad), English football remains close to his heart. Whether it's late-night research or diving into stat models, Harry thrives on spotting the bets others might miss.
💎 Gem Bet: Jordan Henderson to Commit 1+ Fouls v Fulham @ 1.83 (bet365)
✅ bet365 - 1.83
Paddy Power - 1.36
Betfair - 1.36
SkyBet - 1.36
- Fulham v Brentford
- Premier League
- 20:00
A £10 bet on this Gem Bet returns £18.30 if it wins.
This Gem Bet is best price with bet365. Join here and claim a new customer offer.
18+, T&Cs Apply. Gamble Responsibly. Ad.
Our last six gems have brought four winners and two voids.
Jordan Henderson to commit 1+ foul in the late kick-off on Saturday is priced at 1.83 with bet365, while other bookies have the same line as short as 1.36. That’s a huge disparity in implied probability, and when analysing the numbers, it’s clear why this is such a Gem.
Since his move from Ajax to Brentford in the summer, Henderson has featured in all four Premier League games, committing a foul in each at an average of 1.43 per 90. That’s well above his career average, which is hardly surprising given his step back into the pace and physicality of the Premier League is already stretching the veteran midfielder.
Saturday’s matchup makes this line even more appealing. He’ll be tasked with handling the pace and trickery of Harry Wilson, who is drawing 3.03 fouls per 90 this season, as well as the combative presence of Sasa Lukić, averaging 1.75 per 90. Both represent exactly the type of opposition that can test Henderson’s discipline.
Given the price gap, his current fouling streak, and the profile of his direct opponents, this feels like one of the standout picks of the weekend. At 1.83, Henderson to commit a foul looks simply too good to ignore.
18+ please gamble responsibly.